Friday, October 15, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey
  • Jerry Brown (D) 49% [46%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
  • Meg Whitman (R) 42% [40%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)
With Leaners
  • Jerry Brown (D) 50% [49%] (47%) {45%} [43%]
  • Meg Whitman (R) 44% [44%] (46%) {48%} [51%]
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Jerry Brown (D) 53% [53%] (51%) {48%} [48%]
  • Meg Whitman (R) 47% [47%] (49%) {52%} [52%]
Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)
  • Jerry Brown 52% [45%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 47% [48%] (49%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {+5%}
  • Meg Whitman 47% [44%] (45%) {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 49% [50%] (50%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-2%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 33% [32%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
  • Somewhat approve 24% [21%] (18%) {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
  • Somewhat disapprove 6% [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
  • Strongly disapprove 36% [37%] (35%) {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}
How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 4% [9%] (5%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
  • Somewhat approve 28% [24%] (26%) {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
  • Somewhat disapprove 36% [31%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
  • Strongly disapprove 31% [35%] (34%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}
Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 13, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% [40%] (39%) Democrat; 37% [36%] (37%) Republican; 20% [24%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Whitman, a former CEO of eBay, now has the support of 84% of California Republicans, while 86% of the state’s Democrats back Brown. The two are tied among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

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