Friday, October 15, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Colorado Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Colorado Gubernatorial Survey
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 42% {43%} (46%) [36%] {43%} (42%) [46%] {41%}
  • Tom Tancredo (AC) 38% {35%} (25%) [14%] {18%} (24%)
  • Dan Maes (R) 12% {16%} (21%) [24%] {31%} (27%) [43%] {41%}
  • Some other candidate 2% {1%} (1%) [6%] {3%} (2%) [5%] {5%}
  • Not sure 6% {5%} (6%) [20%] {5%} (5%) [7%] {13%}
Among Voters Certain to Vote
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 42%
  • Tom Tancredo (AC) 39%
  • Dan Maes (R) 10%
  • Other 2%
  • Not sure 5% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • John Hickenlooper 53% {52%} (56%) [51%] {52%} (49%) [50%] {53%} (49%) [55%] {55%} (56%) [57%] / 40% {45%} (40%) [38%] {43%} (46%) [44%] {42%} (43%) [38%] {36%} (36%) [32%] {+13%}
  • Tom Tancredo 49% {45%} (42%) [34%] {38%} (39%) / 42% {47%} (51%) [52%] {52%} (51%) {+7%}
  • Dan Maes 24% {29%} (34%) [42%] {44%} (39%) [44%] {45%} / 62% {61%} (55%) [41%] {42%} (43%) [31%] {25%} {-38%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 14, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 30% {38%} Republican; 30% {32%} Democrat; 40% {30%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8-10, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2009 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2009 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:

Maes currently carries just 24% of the voters in his own party, while Tancredo picks up 59% Republican support. Eighty-four percent (84%) of Colorado Democrats support Hickenlooper. Among voters not affiliated with either party, 60% favor Hickenlooper to Tancredo’s 19% and Maes’ 3%.

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