Friday, October 15, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey
  • Richard Blumenthal (D) 50% [52%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (53%) {56%} [48%] (52%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {58%}
  • Linda McMahon (R) 44% [43%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (40%) {33%} [45%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (36%) {34%}
With Leaners
  • Richard Blumenthal (D) 51% [54%] (50%) {53%}
  • Linda McMahon (R) 46% [43%] (45%) {44%}
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% [56%] (56%) {59%}
  • Linda McMahon (R) 46% [44%] (44%) {41%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Richard Blumenthal 54% [59%] (61%) {62%} [59%] (61%) {64%} [66%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (70%) / 44% [39%] (38%) {38%} [39%] (36%) {32%} [32%] (23%) {28%} [26%] (27%) {+10%}
  • Linda McMahon 48% [46%] (56%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {38%} [54%] (55%) {45%} [46%] (51%) / 50% [52%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [42%] (31%) {45%} [42%] (34%) {-2%}
How would you rate the job Jodi Rell has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 18% [17%] (21%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {15%} [20%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (22%)
  • Somewhat approve 42% [42%] (41%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {38%} [36%] (43%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 24% [29%] (24%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {24%} [29%] (28%) {20%} [19%] ( 23%)
  • Strongly disapprove 15% [12%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (16%) {21%} [14%] (12%) {19%} [14%] (10%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 33% [37%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {39%} [36%] (44%)
  • Somewhat approve 20% [16%] (18%) {19%} [23%] (22%) {27%} [20%] (17%) {20%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [21%] (15%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 8% [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (9%)
  • Strongly disapprove 37% [38%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (37%) {32%} [29%] (32%) {34%} [35%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (30%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 14, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% [40%] (40%) Democrat; 31% [30%] (31%) Republican; 26% [29%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 18, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10, 2009 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

McMahon picks up 87% of the vote from Republicans, while Blumenthal is backed by 83% of Democrats.  The Republican candidate has a slim one-point lead among voters not affiliated with either party.

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