Poll Watch: Rasmussen Illinois Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Illinois Gubernatorial Survey

• Bill Brady (R) 42% (42%) [45%] {46%} (48%) [44%] {43%} (47%) [45%] {45%} (47%)
• Pat Quinn (D) 34% (34%) [30%] {37%} (35%) [37%] {40%} (36%) [38%] {38%} (37%)
• Scott Lee Cohen (I) 9%
• Rich Whitney (G) 4% (7%) [9%]
• Some other candidate 4% (5%) [6%]

With Leaners

• Bill Brady (R) 46% (46%) [50%] {49%}
• Pat Quinn (D) 40% (38%) [37%] {41%}
• Scott Lee Cohen (I) 4%
• Rich Whitney (G) 2% (4%) [4%]
• Some other candidate 5% (5%) [7%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Bill Brady (R) 51% (53%) [58%]
• Pat Quinn (D) 41% (44%) [39%]
• Scott Lee Cohen (I) 5%
• Rich Whitney (G) 3% (4%) [3%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bill Brady 49% (46%) [56%] {53%} (46%) [47%] {49%} (47%) [47%] {48%} (51%) / 43% (46%) [35%] {35%} (39%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [32%] {35%} (30%) {+6%}
• Pat Quinn 39% (39%) [43%] {42%} (39%) [41%] {42%} (42%) [43%] {37%} (44%) / 57% (58%) [53%] {54%} (54%) [55%] {54%} (52%) [50%] {59%} (51%) {-18%}
• Rich Whitney 20% (24%) [25%] / 39% (38%) [32%] {-19%}
• Scott Lee Cohen 25% / 47% {-22%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 12, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% (44%) Democrat; 32% (31%) Republican; 29% (25%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Illinois Republicans support Brady, while 71% of Democrats back Quinn. Whitney and Cohen draw low single-digit support from voters in both parties, but Cohen is more attractive to Democrats than Republicans. Brady earns 54% support among voters not affiliated with either major political party.