Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 54% {53%} [49%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [46%] (52%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 40% {41%}  [39%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (26%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Tom Corbett (R) 57%
• Dan Onorato (D) 43%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 57% {61%} [59%] (60%) {59%} [54%] (56%) {61%} [59%] (57%) {56%} [59%] (67%) / 32% {26%} [28%] (29%) {27%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (26%) {29%} [33%] (15%) {+25%}
• Dan Onorato 46% {50%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {41%} [36%] (34%) / 43% {37%} [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (35%) {+3%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 12, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% Democrat; 37% Republican; 17% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Corbett has the backing of 85% of Republicans in the state, while just 70% of Democrats support Onorato. The GOP candidate holds a three-to-one lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.