Wednesday, October 06, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

Rasmussen West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey
  • John Raese (R) 48% {44%} [42%] (44%) {42%} [35%]
  • Joe Manchin (D) 41% {43%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [51%]
  • Other 4% {5%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [5%]
  • Not sure 8% {8%} [8%] (5%) {7%} [9%]
With Leaners
  • John Raese (R) 50% {48%} [43%] (45%)
  • Joe Manchin (D) 44% {46%} [50%] (50%)
  • Other 2% {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Not sure 5% {4%} [5%] (3%)
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • John Raese (R) 52% {49%} [44%] (48%)
  • Joe Manchin (D) 48% {51%} [56%] (52%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joe Manchin 69% {70%} [71%] (70%) {73%} [74%] (80%) / 29% {26%} [27%] (29%) {26%} [24%] (18%) {+40%}
  • John Raese 56% {50%} [53%] (54%) {60%} [49%] / 40% {41%} [41%] (37%) {31%} [32%] {+16%}
How would you rate the job Joe Manchin has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 33% {32%} [36%] (35%) {36%} [38%] (40%)
  • Somewhat approve 36% {37%} [33%] (32%) {34%} [33%] (37%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 19% {16%} [18%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (14%)
  • Strongly disapprove 12% {14%} [12%] (13%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
What is best for the State of West Virginia….for Joe Manchin to remain as Governor or for Joe Manchin to represent West Virginia in the United States Senate? 
  • Joe Manchin to remain as governor 53%
  • Joe Manchin to represent West Virginia in the United State senate 33%
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 18% {17%} [18%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (18%)
  • Somewhat approve 12% {13%} [16%] (14%) {12%} [15%] (17%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 13% {15%} [12%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (13%)
  • Strongly disapprove 56% {53%} [52%] (53%) {58%} [55%] (51%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 5, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% {46%} [45%] Democrat; 38% {37%} [37%] Republican; 17% {17%} [17%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8, 2010 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Seventy-five percent (75%) of West Virginia Republicans support Raese, while Manchin has the backing of 68% of West Virginia Democrats. The GOP candidate has a 59% to 32% lead among voters not affiliated with either major party.

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