Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Oregon Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Oregon Gubernatorial Survey 

• John Kitzhaber (D) 46% {43%} [44%] (40%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 45% {49%} [46%] (47%)

Among Men

• Chris Dudley (R) 51% {57%} [44%] (50%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 40% {38%} [48%] (36%)

Among Women

• John Kitzhaber (D) 52% {48%} [41%] (44%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 40% {42%} [47%] (44%)

Among Democrats

• John Kitzhaber (D) 76% {76%} [73%] (70%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 18% {20%} [19%] (20%)

Among Republicans

• Chris Dudley (R) 83% {82%} [84%] (79%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 12% {10%} [7%] (13%)

Among Independents

• Chris Dudley (R) 46% {61%} [45%] (41%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 37% {28%} [41%] (35%) 

Among Moderates

• John Kitzhaber (D) 51% {51%} [50%] (51%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 41% {43%} [39%] (34%)

Portland

• John Kitzhaber (D) 48% {46%} [46%] (43%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 43% {46%} [44%] (44%)

Rest of Oregon

• Chris Dudley (R) 49% {56%} [49%] (53%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 43% {38%} [41%] (35%)

College Grad

• John Kitzhaber (D) 54% {46%} [48%] (48%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 38% {44%} [43%] (46%)

Not a College Grad

• Chris Dudley (R) 54% {54%} [47%] (49%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 36% {41%} [41%] (33%)

Pro-Choice

• John Kitzhaber (D) 63% {65%} [62%] (54%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 30% {29%} [31%] (33%)

Pro-Life

• Chris Dudley (R) 75% {75%} [68%] (71%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 16% {17%} [19%] (18%) 

Regularly Attend Religious Service

• Chris Dudley (R) 58% {61%} [60%] (56%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 33% {34%} [28%] (37%)

Occasionally Attend Religious Service

• Chris Dudley (R) 48% {51%} [49%] (53%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 46% {36%} [44%] (33%)

Almost Never Attend Religious Service 

• John Kitzhaber (D) 56% {58%} [60%] (47%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 35% {36%} [31%] (37%)

Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 29% {34%} [32%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 42% {36%} [33%] (32%)

Survey of 652 likely voters was conducted October 12-14, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% {44%} [46%] (38%) Democrat; 32% {32%} [32%] (35%) Republican; 21% {23%} [20%] (26%) Independent.  Political ideology: 36% {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 33% {37%} [31%] (34%) Conservative; 25% {21%} [21%] (18%) Liberal.  Abortion: 62% {56%} [57%] (57%) Pro-choice; 34% {42%} [41%] (40%) Pro-life.  Attend Religious Service: 37% {36%} [37%] (38%) Regularly; 19% {25%} [22%] (22%) Occasionally; 43% {39%} [41%] (40%) Almost Never.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2010 are in parentheses.