Monday, January 03, 2011

Poll Watch: Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey
Republican Nomination
  • Chris Christie 27%
  • Mitt Romney 17%
  • Sarah Palin 16%
  • Mike Huckabee 14%
  • Mitch Daniels 5%
  • Tim Pawlenty 2%
  • John Thune 2%
  • Not sure/Other 18%
General Election
  • Chris Christie 43%
  • Barack Obama 40%
  • Mitt Romney 41%
  • Barack Obama 41%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Mike Huckabee 39%
  • Barack Obama 41%
  • Tim Pawlenty 38%
  • Barack Obama 40%
  • Mitch Daniels 36%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • John Thune 35%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Sarah Palin 38%
Survey 2,073 likely voters, including a subset of 746 Republican likely voters, was conducted December 30, 2010 - January 3, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points; +/-3.7% among likely Republican voters.

Inside the numbers:
Christie leads among conservative Republicans with 28%, followed by Palin (18%), Huckabee (15%) and Romney (14%). Christie also leads among Born-Again Christians with 27%. He also does well with moderate Republicans (23%). Romney leads that group with 28%.
Looking at age groups, Christie does best with those 18-29 (36%) and 30-49 (33%).

Both Christie and Romney lead Obama among independent voters. For Christie, that margin is 42%-29%; and for Romney, 39%-31%. Of the listed Republicans, Palin does the worst against Obama among independents, losing 38%-32%.

Obama loses to each of the Republicans among voters over age 65; and trails by the biggest margins to Romney (51%-38%) and Christie (49%-39%).

Pollster John Zogby: "Christie's blunt talk about public employees and his aggressive actions on the New Jersey state budget have made him very popular both within the Republican Party and with independents. His style and appearance would present quite the contrast to that of the President. He adds not only an alternative governing philosophy, but also real efforts at cutting spending. If he decided to run, Christie could quickly oust Romney as the favorite of establishment Republicans. Our results are not good news for Palin. She isn't winning independents, and despite her star power with conservatives, she is not their first choice to take on Obama."

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