Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Republican Nomination Survey 
  • Donald Trump 19% [10%]
  • Mike Huckabee 19% [19%] {21%} (21%) [14%] {24%} (17%)
  • Sarah Palin 12% [12%] {19%} (14%) [18%] {15%} (18%)
  • Newt Gingrich 11% [14%] {10%} (12%) [15%] {14%} (8%)
  • Mitt Romney 11% [18%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {20%} (22%)
  • Ron Paul 7% [8%] {7%} (7%) [10%] {8%} (8%)
  • Michele Bachmann 5%
  • Mitch Daniels 3% [3%] {3%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 2% [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%} (5%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% [3%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {3%} (5%)
  • Haley Barbour 0% [1%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {1%} (1%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 3% [4%] {5%} (7%) [6%] {5%} (8%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 4% [3%] {4%} (4%) [0%] {5%} (2%)
  • No opinion 1% [2%] {2%} (6%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
Among Republicans
  • Mike Huckabee 24% [18%] {24%} (21%) [17%]
  • Donald Trump 15% [8%]
  • Newt Gingrich 14% [15%] {9%} (14%) [15%]
  • Sarah Palin 14% [14%] {17%} (16%) [21%]
  • Mitt Romney 9% [18%] {18%} (21%) [20%]
  • Michele Bachmann 8%
  • Ron Paul 5% [7%] {7%} (4%) [7%]
  • Mitch Daniels 2% [3%] {4%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 2% [4%] {4%} (3%) [2%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% [3%] {1%} (3%) [3%]
  • Haley Barbour 0% [2%] {6%} (3%) [3%]
  • Someone else (vol.) 1% [4%] {4%} (5%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 4% [4%] {3%} (2%)
  • No opinion 1% [2%] {1%} (6%)
Among Independents
  • Donald Trump 24% [13%]
  • Mitt Romney 13% [17%] {19%} (19%) [23%]
  • Mike Huckabee 13% [22%] {18%} (20%) [9%]
  • Sarah Palin 11% [7%] {22%} (11%) [12%]
  • Ron Paul 10% [11%] {8%} (11%) [14%]
  • Newt Gingrich 9% [14%] {13%} (9%) [14%]
  • Mitch Daniels 4% [4%] {2%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 3% [2%] {3%} (3%) [5%]
  • Michele Bachmann 2%
  • Rick Santorum 2% [2%] {1%} (1%) [2%]
  • Haley Barbour 0% [1%] {1%} (2%) [2%]
  • Someone else (vol.) 5% [4%] {5%} (10%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 5% [1%] {4%} (7%)
  • No opinion 1% [2%] {3%} (5%)
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 18% [21%] {18%} (21%) [11%]
  • Donald Trump 16% [9%]
  • Sarah Palin 12% [8%] {12%} (12%) [16%]
  • Newt Gingrich 11% [16%] {12%} (13%) [17%]
  • Mitt Romney 11% [15%] {20%} (23%) [23%]
  • Ron Paul 9% [10%] {10%} (9%) [13%]
  • Michele Bachmann 5%
  • Mitch Daniels 4% [4%] {5%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 3% [4%] {5%} (4%) [3%]
  • Rick Santorum 2% [2%] {1%} (2%) [2%]
  • Haley Barbour 0% [1%] {4%} (3%) [4%]
Among Women
  • Donald Trump 23% [10%]
  • Mike Huckabee 19% [17%] {24%} (20%) [18%]
  • Newt Gingrich 12% [12%] {9%} (9%) [13%]
  • Sarah Palin 12% [16%] {26%} (17%) [20%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% [20%] {17%} (17%) [19%]
  • Michele Bachmann 5%
  • Ron Paul 5% [7%] {5%} (4%) [6%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% [3%] {1%} (3%) [2%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 1% [3%] {2%} (2%) [4%]
  • Mitch Daniels 0% [2%] {1%}
  • Haley Barbour 0% [2%] {3%} (3%) [1%]
    Who would be your second choice?
    • Mike Huckabee 16% [18%] {14%}
    • Mitt Romney 14% [15%] {18%}
    • Sarah Palin 13% [12%] {19%}
    • Donald Trump 13% [6%]
    • Newt Gingrich 12% [11%] {8%}
    • Ron Paul 9% [10%] {8%}
    • Mitch Daniels 4% [4%] {4%}
    • Tim Pawlenty 3% [4%] {5%}
    • Michele Bachmann 3%
    • Haley Barbour 2% [1%] {1%}
    • Rick Santorum 0% [3%] {3%}
    • Someone else (vol.) 3% [2%] {5%}
    • None/ No one (vol.) 4% [9%] {7%}
    • No opinion 2% [3%] {4%}
    Regardless of who you support, please tell me whether you would or would not like to see each of the following people run for the Republican nomination for President:

    Mike Huckabee
    • Would like to see run 72%
    • Would not like to see run 26%
    Mitt Romney
    • Would like to see run 66%
    • Would not like to see run 28%
    Donald Trump
    • Would like to see run 56%
    • Would not like to see run 43%
    Sarah Palin
    • Would like to see run 53%
    • Would not like to see run 47%
    Newt Gingrich
    • Would like to see run 51%
    • Would not like to see run 45%
    Survey of 385 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents, was conducted April 9-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.



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