Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Newt Gingrich 18% (18%) {15%} [23%]
• Mike Huckabee 18% (23%) {15%} [15%] (21%)
• Mitt Romney 18% (21%) {28%} [31%] (52%)
• Sarah Palin 15% (13%) {22%} [23%] (18%)
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Ron Paul 6% (8%)
• Tim Pawlenty 6% (4%) {4%}
• Haley Barbour 3%
• Someone else/Undecided 8% (10%) {12%} 

What if Rudy Giuliani ran for President and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Mike Huckabee 17%
• Mitt Romney 17%
• Rudy Giuliani 16%
• Sarah Palin 11%
• Michele Bachmann 6%
• Tim Pawlenty 6% 
• Ron Paul 4%
• Someone else/Undecided 6%

Very Conservative

• Newt Gingrich 23%
• Mike Huckabee 21%
• Mitt Romney 14%
• Sarah Palin 12%
• Rudy Giuliani 10%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Tim Pawlenty 6% 
• Ron Paul 4%
• Someone else/Undecided 3%

Somewhat Conservative

• Rudy Giuliani 20%
• Mitt Romney 20%
• Mike Huckabee 16%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Sarah Palin 10%
• Michele Bachmann 6%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Tim Pawlenty 5% 
• Someone else/Undecided 6%

Moderate

• Rudy Giuliani 21%
• Mitt Romney 18%
• Sarah Palin 13%
• Mike Huckabee 11%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Tim Pawlenty 7% 
• Ron Paul 6%
• Michele Bachmann 4%
• Someone else/Undecided 9%

Among Men

• Rudy Giuliani 18%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Mike Huckabee 15%
• Sarah Palin 13%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Tim Pawlenty 5% 
• Someone else/Undecided 3%

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 19%
• Mike Huckabee 19%
• Newt Gingrich 16%
• Rudy Giuliani 15%
• Sarah Palin 9%
• Tim Pawlenty 7% 
• Michele Bachmann 5%
• Ron Paul 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 9%

Let’s say that Mike Huckabee didn’t run for President next year and the candidates were just Michele Bachmann, Haley Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Newt Gingrich 24%
• Mitt Romney 23%
• Sarah Palin 19%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Haley Barbour 3%
• Someone else/Undecided 9%

Now let’s say that Mike Huckabee did run for President next year but that Sarah Palin did not and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Haley Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Mike Huckabee 24%
• Newt Gingrich 22%
• Mitt Romney 22%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Haley Barbour 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 9%

Now let’s say that neither Mike Huckabee nor Sarah Palin ran for President next year and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Haley Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Newt Gingrich 30%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Michele Bachmann 11%
• Tim Pawlenty 10%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Haley Barbour 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 11%

Here’s one last scenario: what if Jeb Bush ran for President and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Jeb Bush, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Jeb Bush 30%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Mike Huckabee 14%
• Mitt Romney 14%
• Sarah Palin 9%
• Michele Bachmann 5%
• Ron Paul 4%
• Tim Pawlenty 4%
• Someone else/Undecided 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 71% (67%) / 17% (20%) {+54%}
• Jeb Bush 68% / 22% {+46%}
• Mitt Romney 61% (61%) / 24% (22%) {+37%}
• Ron Paul 53% / 16% {+37%}
• Michele Bachmann 44% / 9% {+35%}
• Newt Gingrich 58% (59%) / 26% (24%) {+32%}
• Sarah Palin 62% (61%) / 30% (32%) {+32%}
• Tim Pawlenty 40% / 8% {+32%}
• Haley Barbour 35% / 7% {+28%}
• Rudy Giuliani 51% / 34% {+17%}

Survey of 427 Republican primary voters was conducted March 24-27, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% Very conservative; 38% Somewhat conservative; 17% Moderate; 3% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.