Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Poll Watch: Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION
  • Mitt Romney 23% [19%] (14%)
  • Rudy Giuliani 13% (9%)
  • Sarah Palin 12% [9%] (12%)
  • Herman Cain 7% [4%] (2%)
  • Newt Gingrich 7% [7%] (7%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% [3%] (4%)
  • Ron Paul 5% [7%] (3%)
  • Michele Bachmann 4% [3%] (2%)
  • Rick Santorum 4% [3%] (2%)
  • Jon Huntsman 2% [1%] (1%)
  • Buddy Roemer 1% [0%]
  • Fred Karger 0% [1%]
  • Roy Moore 0% [1%]
  • Gary Johnson 0% [1%] (1%)
  • Too soon to say 5% [9%] (5%)
  • Don't know 7% [4%] (8%)
GENERAL ELECTION
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Rudy Giuliani 43%
  • Barack Obama 48% {48%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% {41%}
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Chris Christie 34%
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Tim Pawlenty 32%
  • Barack Obama 53% {55%}
  • Newt Gingrich 34% {35%} 
  • Barack Obama 56% {56%}
  • Sarah Palin 35% {35%}
Among Independents
  • Rudy Giuliani 44%
  • Barack Obama 32%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
  • Barack Obama 33%
  • Barack Obama 35%
  • Chris Christie 34%
  • Barack Obama 36%
  • Tim Pawlenty 29%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Newt Gingrich 28%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Sarah Palin 32%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Rudy Giuliani 29%
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Chris Christie 16%
  • Barack Obama 63%
  • Newt Gingrich 19%
  • Barack Obama 64%
  • Mitt Romney 20%
  • Barack Obama 61%
  • Tim Pawlenty 16%
  • Barack Obama 69%
  • Sarah Palin 20%
Among Men
  • Rudy Giuliani 48%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Chris Christie 40%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Tim Pawlenty 39%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Newt Gingrich 41%
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Sarah Palin 40%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Rudy Giuliani 38%
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 35%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Chris Christie 29%
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Tim Pawlenty 26%
  • Barack Obama 58%
  • Newt Gingrich 28%
  • Barack Obama 61%
  • Sarah Palin 30%
Income $50K+
  • Rudy Giuliani 48%
  • Barack Obama 43%
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Chris Christie 40%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Tim Pawlenty 36%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Newt Gingrich 38%
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Sarah Palin 36%
College Degree
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Rudy Giuliani 45%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Chris Christie 36%
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Tim Pawlenty 35%
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Newt Gingrich 35%
  • Barack Obama 59%
  • Sarah Palin 32%
Among Whites
  • Rudy Giuliani 51%
  • Barack Obama 36%
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Barack Obama 38%
  • Barack Obama 40%
  • Chris Christie 40%
  • Barack Obama 41%
  • Tim Pawlenty 38%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Newt Gingrich 40%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Sarah Palin 41%
Age 35-54
  • Rudy Giuliani 45%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 42% 
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Tim Pawlenty 33%
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Chris Christie 34%
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Newt Gingrich 36%  
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Sarah Palin 35%
Tea Party
  • Mitt Romney 80%
  • Barack Obama 10%
  • Rudy Giuliani 79%
  • Barack Obama 12%
  • Chris Christie 76%
  • Barack Obama 12%
  • Newt Gingrich 74%
  • Barack Obama 12%
  • Sarah Palin 77%
  • Barack Obama 16%
  • Tim Pawlenty 70%
  • Barack Obama 11%
Regardless of how you might vote, how qualified do you think Mitt Romney is to be president of the United States?
  • Very qualified 27%
  • Somewhat qualified 41%
  • Not very qualified 11%
  • Not at all qualified 10%
Among Republicans
  • Very qualified 43%
  • Somewhat qualified 41%
  • Not very qualified 5%
  • Not at all qualified 3%
Regardless of how you might vote, how qualified do you think Newt Gingrich is to be president of the United States?
  • Very qualified 21%
  • Somewhat qualified 37%
  • Not very qualified 12%
  • Not at all qualified 21%
Among Republicans
  • Very qualified 38%
  • Somewhat qualified 42%
  • Not very qualified 6%
  • Not at all qualified 7%
Regardless of how you might vote, how qualified do you think Tim Pawlenty is to be president of the United States?
  • Very qualified 10%
  • Somewhat qualified 33%
  • Not very qualified 12%
  • Not at all qualified 13%
Among Republicans
  • Very qualified 16%
  • Somewhat qualified 39%
  • Not very qualified 6%
  • Not at all qualified 4%
Regardless of how you might vote, how qualified do you think Herman Cain is to be president of the United States?
  • Very qualified 7%
  • Somewhat qualified 25%
  • Not very qualified 11%
  • Not at all qualified 13%
Among Republicans
  • Very qualified 13%
  • Somewhat qualified 36%
  • Not very qualified 7%
  • Not at all qualified 3%
Regardless of how you might vote, how qualified do you think Sarah Palin is to be president of the United States?
  • Very qualified 14%
  • Somewhat qualified 27%
  • Not very qualified 14%
  • Not at all qualified 42%
Among Republicans
  • Very qualified 24%
  • Somewhat qualified 42%
  • Not very qualified 15%
  • Not at all qualified 16%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 43%
If the 2012 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Barack Obama, probably vote to re-elect Obama, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?
  • Definitely vote to re-elect Obama 28%
  • Probably vote to re-elect Obama 16%
  • Probably vote for someone else 13%
  • Certainly vote for someone else 36%
In general, do you think voters need to know about a candidate’s past sexual relationships or infidelities because they reflect on the candidate’s character, or do you think this information should make no difference to elections and that the threat of exposure keeps too many good leaders out of office?
  • Voters need to know about past relationships or infidelities 36%
  • This focus on past relationships keeps good leaders out of office 58%
Let’s say there was a candidate for president who you thought had excellent leadership skills and shared your views on all the issues, but who also had some sexual indiscretions in the past—would you support that candidate or not?
  • Yes 65%
  • No 21%
Survey of 912 registered voters, including a subsample of 338 Republican primary voters, was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) June 5-7, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points; +/- 5.5 percentage points among Republican voters.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

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