Monday, June 13, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 45% (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Tim Pawlenty 40%
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
  • Newt Gingrich 40% (42%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Herman Cain 37%
  • Barack Obama 52% (52%) {52%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [52%] (48%)
  • Sarah Palin 38% (40%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (43%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 47% (43%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)
  • Barack Obama 36% (42%) {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)
  • Barack Obama 41%
  • Tim Pawlenty 33%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Herman Cain 37%
  • Barack Obama 45% (50%) {47%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [41%] (39%)
  • Newt Gingrich 33% (38%) {43%} [27%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 45% (51%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {48%} [51%] (42%)
  • Sarah Palin 29% (40%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [33%] (46%)
    Among Men
    • Mitt Romney 48% (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)
    • Barack Obama 46% (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)
    • Barack Obama 47%
    • Tim Pawlenty 46%
    • Barack Obama 46%
    • Herman Cain 40%
    • Barack Obama 50% (45%) {49%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (38%)
    • Newt Gingrich 41% (46%) {45%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (55%)
    • Barack Obama 51% (47%) {54%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [46%] (39%)
    • Sarah Palin 41% (46%) {38%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (51%)
    Among Women
    • Barack Obama 45% (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)
    • Mitt Romney 40% (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)
    • Barack Obama 51% (55%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%] (53%)
    • Newt Gingrich 40% (38%) {46%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (37%)
    • Barack Obama 48%
    • Tim Pawlenty 35%
    • Barack Obama 50%
    • Herman Cain 35%
    • Barack Obama 53% (57%) {50%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (55%)
    • Sarah Palin 36% (35%) {41%} [36%] (38%) {40%} [33%] (35%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Herman Cain 20% / 28% {-8%}
    • Mitt Romney 35% (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 44% (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-9%}
    • Tim Pawlenty 23% / 37% {-14%}
    • Sarah Palin 31% (32%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 62% (59%) {60%} [57%] (57%) {55%} [57%] (55%) {-31%}
    • Newt Gingrich 23% (28%) {31%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 58% (54%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-35%}
    Among Republicans
    • Sarah Palin 61% (57%) {63%} [66%] (71%) {73%} [68%] (62%) / 29% (34%) {28%} [26%] (23%) {17%} [24%] (24%) {+32%}
    • Mitt Romney 52% (43%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [57%] (44%) / 27% (34%) {32%} [25%] (25%) {20%} [21%] (22%) {+25%}
    • Tim Pawlenty 39% / 19% {+20%}
    • Herman Cain 30% / 16% {+14%}
    • Newt Gingrich 40% (48%) {50%} [48%] (55%) {54%} [65%] (56%) / 39% (34%) {27%} [23%] (23%) {19%} [23%] (20%) {+1%}
    Among Independents
    • Herman Cain 26% / 33% {-7%}
    • Mitt Romney 35% (36%) {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 45% (45%) {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-10%}
    • Tim Pawlenty 26% / 41% {-15%}
    • Sarah Palin 21% (30%) {26%} [29%] (32%) {29%} [36%] (38%) / 64% (59%) {67%} [67%] (62%) {64%} [52%] (50%) {-43%}
    • Newt Gingrich 19% (28%) {24%} [17%] (29%) {34%} [34%] (33%) / 64% (57%) {56%} [58%] (54%) {51%} [43%] (41%) {-45%}
      Among Men
      • Herman Cain 25% / 34% {-9%}
      • Tim Pawlenty 27% / 42% {-15%}
      • Mitt Romney 34% (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 53% (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-19%}
      • Sarah Palin 32% (37%) {31%} [39%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (42%) / 61% (55%) {63%} [54%] (54%) {54%} [54%] (50%) {-29%}
      • Newt Gingrich 19% (30%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [40%] (43%) / 67% (56%) {55%} [43%] (50%) {46%} [50%] (41%) {-48%}
      Among Women
      • Mitt Romney 36% (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 36% (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {0%}
      • Herman Cain 17% / 23% {-6%}
      • Tim Pawlenty 20% / 32% {-12%}
      • Newt Gingrich 27% (25%) {29%} [23%] (24%) {31%} [31%] (26%) / 51% (53%) {45%} [52%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {-24%}
      • Sarah Palin 30% (28%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {39%} [31%] (30%) / 62% (64%) {56%} [59%] (60%) {55%} [60%] (60%) {-32%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
      • Approve 49% (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
      • Disapprove 47% (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)
      Survey of 563 registered voters was conducted June 8-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 47% (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 36% (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 16% (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 27% (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 17% (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 17% (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

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