Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 25% (37%)
• Michele Bachmann 18% (4%)
• Sarah Palin 11% (14%)
• Ron Paul 9% (13%)
• Rick Perry 7%
• Herman Cain 7%
• Jon Huntsman 6%
• Tim Pawlenty 6% (5%)
• Newt Gingrich 4% (14%)
• Someone else/Undecided 7% (11%)

If Sarah Palin didn’t end up running for President, and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 28% (40%)
• Michele Bachmann 21% (8%)
• Rick Perry 9%
• Ron Paul 9% (18%)
• Jon Huntsman 7%
• Herman Cain 7%
• Tim Pawlenty 6% (5%)
• Newt Gingrich 4% (17%)
• Someone else/Undecided 9% (10%)

If the Republican nomination contest came down to Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Michele Bachmann 37%

If the Republican nomination contest came down to Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 53%
• Rick Perry 28%

If the Republican nomination contest came down to Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 59%
• Tim Pawlenty 25%

If the Republican nomination contest came down to Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 65%
• Sarah Palin 26%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Michele Bachmann 64% (38%) / 24% (18%) {+40%}
• Jeb Bush 59% / 19% {+40%}
• Rudy Giuliani 62% (62%) / 23% (22%) {+39%}
• Chris Christie 55% / 17% {+38%}
• Mitt Romney 60% (68%) / 29% (19%) {+31%}
• Paul Ryan 39% / 15% {+24%}
• Ron Paul 53% (53%) / 30% (21%) {+23%}
• Rick Perry 33% / 13% {+20%}
• Tim Pawlenty 45% (34%) / 27% (14%) {+18%}
• Herman Cain 42% (9%) / 25% (13%) {+17%}
• Rick Santorum 40% (30%) / 25% (17%) {+15%}
• Sarah Palin 52% (51%) / 39% (39%) {+13%}
• Jon Huntsman 25% (8%) / 26% (13%) {-1%}
• Gary Johnson 9% / 15% {-6%}
• Buddy Roemer 5% / 16% {-11%}
• Fred Karger 2% / 16% {-14%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% (45%) / 51% (36%) {-18%}

Among Republicans

• Jeb Bush 64% / 14% {+50%}
• Michele Bachmann 67% (38%) / 20% (17%) {+47%}
• Mitt Romney 65% (75%) / 24% (15%) {+41%}
• Chris Christie 54% / 14% {+40%}
• Rudy Giuliani 60% (67%) / 24% (18%) {+36%}
• Paul Ryan 37% / 12% {+25%}
• Tim Pawlenty 47% (34%) / 25% (13%) {+22%}
• Ron Paul 52% (53%) / 31% (19%) {+21%}
• Rick Perry 32% / 13% {+19%}
• Sarah Palin 54% (58%) / 38% (31%) {+16%}
• Rick Santorum 38% (33%) / 24% (17%) {+14%}
• Herman Cain 39% (11%) / 27% (15%) {+12%}
• Jon Huntsman 26% (9%) / 27% (14%) {-1%}
• Gary Johnson 10% / 15% {-5%}
• Buddy Roemer 6% / 15% {-9%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% (51%) / 48% (32%) {-15%}
• Fred Karger 1% / 17% {-16%}

Among Independents

• Rudy Giuliani 65% (51%) / 22% (32%) {+43%}
• Chris Christie 56% / 22% {+34%}
• Herman Cain 52% (4%) / 20% (9%) {+32%}
• Ron Paul 54% (54%) / 26% (22%) {+28%}
• Michele Bachmann 57% (36%) / 31% (22%) {+26%}
• Paul Ryan 44% / 20% {+24%}
• Rick Perry 37% / 14% {+23%}
• Jeb Bush 46% / 29% {+17%}
• Rick Santorum 41% (23%) / 27% (19%) {+14%}
• Tim Pawlenty 42% (35%) / 29% (17%) {+13%}
• Mitt Romney 48% (52%) / 40% (28%) {+8%}
• Sarah Palin 46% (38%) / 41% (53%) {+5%}
• Jon Huntsman 22% (6%) / 24% (11%) {-2%}
• Fred Karger 4% / 12% {-8%}
• Gary Johnson 5% / 17% {-12%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% / 18% {-15%}
• Newt Gingrich 30% (33%) / 57% (45%) {-27%}

Among Men

• Michele Bachmann 64% (37%) / 25% (22%) {+39%}
• Chris Christie 58% / 19% {+39%}
• Jeb Bush 60% / 23% {+37%}
• Rudy Giuliani 60% (59%) / 25% (23%) {+35%}
• Ron Paul 60% (58%) / 26% (22%) {+34%}
• Mitt Romney 61% (67%) / 30% (20%) {+31%}
• Paul Ryan 46% / 17% {+29%}
• Rick Perry 36% / 16% {+20%}
• Herman Cain 46% (10%) / 28% (19%) {+18%}
• Tim Pawlenty 45% (35%) / 31% (19%) {+14%}
• Sarah Palin 52% (52%) / 38% (38%) {+14%}
• Rick Santorum 36% (33%) / 29% (24%) {+7%}
• Jon Huntsman 29% (10%) / 28% (19%) {+1%}
• Gary Johnson 14% / 16% {-2%}
• Buddy Roemer 8% / 17% {-9%}
• Fred Karger 4% / 17% {-13%}
• Newt Gingrich 32% (49%) / 53% (34%) {-21%}

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 58% / 14% {+44%}
• Rudy Giuliani 63% (66%) / 21% (21%) {+42%}
• Michele Bachmann 64% (38%) / 22% (14%) {+42%}
• Chris Christie 50% / 14% {+36%}
• Mitt Romney 57% (68%) / 28% (19%) {+29%}
• Rick Santorum 44% (27%) / 19% (11%) {+25%}
• Tim Pawlenty 46% (33%) / 22% (10%) {+24%}
• Rick Perry 29% / 10% {+19%}
• Paul Ryan 30% / 12% {+18%}
• Herman Cain 38% (8%) / 21% (7%) {+17%}
• Sarah Palin 52% (50%) / 40% (40%) {+12%}
• Ron Paul 43% (48%) / 34% (20%) {+9%}
• Jon Huntsman 20% (7%) / 24% (7%) {-4%}
• Gary Johnson 3% / 14% {-11%}
• Fred Karger 1% / 13% {-12%}
• Buddy Roemer 2% / 15% {-13%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% (41%) / 48% (38%) {-15%}

Among Birthers

• Michele Bachmann 73% (41%) / 15% (11%) {+58%}
• Rudy Giuliani 62% (72%) / 22% (18%) {+40%}
• Jeb Bush 55% / 16% {+39%}
• Chris Christie 52% / 15% {+37%}
• Sarah Palin 64% (60%) / 28% (29%) {+36%}
• Mitt Romney 59% (72%) / 29% (18%) {+30%}
• Ron Paul 51% (55%) / 25% (18%) {+26%}
• Rick Santorum 41% (32%) / 17% (13%) {+24%}
• Rick Perry 34% / 16% {+18%}
• Paul Ryan 32% / 14% {+18%}
• Herman Cain 42% (12%) / 28% (16%) {+14%}
• Tim Pawlenty 38% (37%) / 32% (11%) {+6%}
• Newt Gingrich 41% (56%) / 44% (26%) {-3%}
• Jon Huntsman 18% (7%) / 29% (15%) {-11%}
• Buddy Roemer 8% / 20% {-12%}
• Fred Karger 3% / 21% {-18%}
• Gary Johnson 4% / 23% {-19%}

Among Non-Birthers

• Rudy Giuliani 61% (55%) / 25% (28%) {+36%}
• Jeb Bush 58% / 25% {+33%}
• Chris Christie 53% / 21% {+32%}
• Mitt Romney 60% (64%) / 30% (22%) {+30%}
• Michele Bachmann 58% (26%) / 31% (35%) {+27%}
• Paul Ryan 44% / 18% {+26%}
• Ron Paul 54% (48%) / 32% (31%) {+22%}
• Tim Pawlenty 47% (30%) / 28% (24%) {+19%}
• Rick Perry 32% / 15% {+17%}
• Herman Cain 40% (5%) / 26% (13%) {+14%}
• Jon Huntsman 29% (9%) / 27% (17%) {+2%}
• Rick Santorum 35% (22%) / 34% (30%) {+1%}
• Gary Johnson 12% / 15% {-3%}
• Sarah Palin 43% (31%) / 49% (62%) {-6%}
• Fred Karger 3% / 16% {-13%}
• Buddy Roemer 4% / 18% {-14%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% (31%) / 62% (56%) {-38%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 33% (30%)
• No 54% (51%)

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 54% (35%)
• No 30% (42%)
• Not sure 16% (23%)

Survey of 341 New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 65% (67%) Republican; 33% (32%) Independent/Other; 2% (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 37% (31%) Very conservative; 36% (43%) Somewhat conservative; 21% (22%) Moderate; 4% (3%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2010 are in parentheses.