Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Poll Watch: NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary 

If the 2012 Republican presidential primary election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Herman Cain, Jon Huntsman, Rick Perry or some other candidate?
  • Mitt Romney 36% {42%} [39%] (40%)
  • Rick Perry 18%
  • Ron Paul 14% {10%} [7%] (6%)
  • Michele Bachmann 10% {10%}
  • Herman Cain 3% {4%}
  • Jon Huntsman 3% {3%}
  • Newt Gingrich 2% {3%} [8%] (16%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% {2%} [3%] (2%)
  • Some other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 10% {8%} [8%] (6%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 66% {69%} [73%] / 24% {22%} [16%] {+42%}
  • Rick Perry 51% / 27% {+24%}
  • Michele Bachmann 49% {55%} / 39% {28%} {+10%}
  • Herman Cain 36% {39%} / 34% {30%} {+2%}
  • Rick Santorum 30% {33%} [27%] / 42% {36%} [20%] {-12%}
  • Ron Paul 39% {40%} [41%] / 47% {47%} [29%] {-8%}
  • Jon Huntsman 20% {14%} / 47% {36%} {-27%}
  • Newt Gingrich 29% {29%} [52%] / 60% {62%} [32%] {-31%}
    Survey of 613 likely Republican primary voters was conducted August 15-16, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.96 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 70% {74%} [67%] (66%) Republican; 30% {26%} [33%] (34%) Independent.  Political ideology: Conservative 65% {63%} [81%] (68%); Moderate 30% {32%} [15%] (26%); Liberal 4% {4%} [1%] (6%).  Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25, 2010 are in parentheses.

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