Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2012 Presidential Survey

Siena College New York 2012 Presidential Survey

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION

• Rudy Giuliani 24%
• Mitt Romney 18%
• George Pataki 11%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Sarah Palin 7%
• Rick Perry 6%
• Newt Gingrich 3%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Herman Cain 1%
• Tim Pawlenty 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Don't know/No opinion 9%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rudy Giuliani 76% / 18% {+58%}
• George Pataki 60% / 31% {+29%}
• Mitt Romney 52% / 29% {+23%}
• Michele Bachmann 42% / 29% {+13%}
• Herman Cain 22% / 14% {+8%}
• Rick Perry 24% / 18% {+6%}
• Tim Pawlenty 20% / 18% {+2%}
• Ron Paul 33% / 32% {+1%}
• Sarah Palin 46% / 47% {-1%}
• Rick Santorum 20% / 23% {-3%}
• Jon Huntsman 14% / 17% {-3%}
• Newt Gingrich 34% / 55% {-21%}

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 50%
• Rudy Giuliani 44%

• Barack Obama 55%
• Mitt Romney 37%

• Barack Obama 57%
• Ron Paul 32%

• Barack Obama 57%
• Rick Perry 30%

• Barack Obama 60%
• Michele Bachmann 30%

• Barack Obama 65%
• Sarah Palin 26%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rudy Giuliani 57% / 37% {+20%}
• George Pataki 51% / 37% {+14%}
• Barack Obama 52% / 45% {+7%}
• Mitt Romney 32% / 46% {-6%}
• Jon Huntsman 14% / 20% {-6%}
• Tim Pawlenty 14% / 27% {-13%}
• Herman Cain 12% / 25% {-13%}
• Ron Paul 26% / 40% {-14%}
• Rick Perry 15% / 32% {-17%}
• Rick Santorum 14% / 32% {-18%}
• Michele Bachmann 25% / 44% {-19%}
• Newt Gingrich 20% / 64% {-44%}
• Sarah Palin 25% / 69% {-44%}

How would you rate the job that Barack Obama is doing as President? Would you rate it excellent, good, fair, or poor?

• Excellent 10% [13%] {16%}
• Good 26% [32%] {37%}
• Fair 30% [30%] {24%}
• Poor 33% [25%] {23%}

I know it's a long way off but looking ahead to the 2012 presidential election, and even though we don't yet know who the Republican candidate will be, if the 2012 election for President were held today do you think you would vote for:

• Barack Obama 51%
• Republican candidate 37%

Barack Obama is running for re-election as President in 2012. I know it‟s a ways off, but as things stand now, would you vote to reelect him or would you prefer someone else?

• Re-elect 47% [50%] (52%) {54%}
• Prefer someone else 45% [41%] (44%) {39%}

Survey of 1,008 registered voters, including a subsample of 430 registered Republicans, was conducted August 9-14, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.7 percentage points among registered Republicans. Party ID breakdown: 48% Democrat; 24% Republican; 25% Independent/Other. Political ideology: Among all registered voters: 42% Moderate; 28% Liberal; 27% Conservative. Among registered Republicans: 54% Conservative; 39% Moderate; 6% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 2011 are in curly brackets. Click here to view crosstabs.

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