Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Favorability Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Name Recognition

• Sarah Palin 97% {97%} (97%) [97%] {95%} (96%) [96%] {95%}
• Rudy Giuliani 90% {91%} (91%) [91%] {90%} (89%) [87%] {86%}
• Mitt Romney 88% {88%} (86%) [86%] {86%} (84%) [85%] {86%}
• Newt Gingrich 86% {85%} (85%) [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {85%}
• Michele Bachmann 84% {85%} (83%) [81%] {78%} (76%) [78%] {77%}
• Ron Paul 79% {78%} (78%) [78%] {78%} (77%) [78%] {77%}
• Rick Perry 74% {75%} (67%) [59%] {54%} (54%) [56%] {55%}
• Rick Santorum 52% {52%} (51%) [51%] {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%}
• Herman Cain 48% {50%} (47%) [45%] {45%} (46%) [47%] {44%}
• Jon Huntsman 46% {43%} (40%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [40%] {41%}

Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents Who Recognize Candidate

Rick Perry

• Strongly Favorable 29% {27%} (25%) [25%] {24%} (26%) [26%] {23%}
• Favorable 44% {44%} (44%) [45%] {46%} (48%) [47%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 10% {12%} (13%) [11%] {14%} (13%) [12%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (2%) [3%] {3%}

Herman Cain

• Strongly Favorable 26% {28%} (29%) [26%] {24%} (27%) [29%] {26%}
• Favorable 47% {46%} (45%) [48%] {53%} (49%) [48%] {46%}
• Unfavorable 12% {12%} (13%) [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {15%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 2% {1%} (1%) [1%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {1%}

Rudy Giuliani

• Strongly Favorable 19% {21%} (23%) [22%] {22%} (21%) [22%] {22%}
• Favorable 55% {54%} (54%) [54%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {57%}
• Unfavorable 16% {15%} (14%) [13%] {14%} (14%) [14%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 4% {4%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [3%] {2%}

Mitt Romney

• Strongly Favorable 15% {15%} (18%) [17%] {17%} (18%) [21%] {19%}
• Favorable 56% {55%} (55%) [57%] {55%} (55%) [53%] {54%}
• Unfavorable 16% {16%} (15%) [14%] {15%} (15%) [13%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% {4%} (4%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%}

Michele Bachmann

• Strongly Favorable 17% {19%} (21%) [24%] {22%} (20%) [23%] {24%}
• Favorable 50% {49%} (46%) [46%] {47%} (44%) [44%] {50%}
• Unfavorable 18% {17%} (16%) [16%] {17%} (18%) [15%] {12%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% {6%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (6%) [5%] {3%}

Rick Santorum

• Strongly Favorable 13% {13%} (9%) [9%] {9%} (11%) [13%] {13%}
• Favorable 50% {49%} (53%) [55%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {56%}
• Unfavorable 20% {20%} (18%) [17%] {16%} (16%) [16%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% {3%} (2%) [2%] {4%} (4%) [2%] {1%}

Sarah Palin

• Strongly Favorable 21% {25%} (24%) [24%] {26%} (25%) [26%] {26%}
• Favorable 48% {44%} (45%) [47%] {43%} (43%) [47%] {47%}
• Unfavorable 19% {20%} (18%) [17%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {16%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 8% {9%} (10%) [9%] {8%} (9%) [8%] {8%}

Ron Paul

• Strongly Favorable 11% {11%} (14%) [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {11%}
• Favorable 50% {49%} (47%) [48%] {52%} (52%) [49%] {51%}
• Unfavorable 23% {23%} (22%) [21%] {20%} (20%) [21%] {22%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 4% {5%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {3%}

Newt Gingrich

• Strongly Favorable 13% {15%} (12%) [10%] {9%} (8%) [10%] {11%}
• Favorable 48% {45%} (45%) [43%] {47%} (49%) [46%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 25% {26%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {29%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% {8%} (8%) [7%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {7%}

Jon Huntsman

• Strongly Favorable 5% {6%} (6%) [7%] {8%} (8%) [6%] {7%}
• Favorable 45% {42%} (44%) [44%] {42%} (47%) [49%] {48%}
• Unfavorable 28% {30%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (22%) [20%] {21%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% {5%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {5%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Perry 73% {71%} (69%) [70%] {70%} (74%) [73%] {67%} / 13% {14%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (15%) [15%] {17%} {+60%}
• Herman Cain 73% {74%} (74%) [74%] {77%} (76%) [77%] {72%} / 14% {13%} (14%) [13%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {16%} {+59%}
• Rudy Giuliani 74% {75%} (77%) [76%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {79%} / 20% {19%} (18%) [16%] {16%} (16%) [17%] {16%} {+54%}
• Mitt Romney 71% {70%} (73%) [74%] {72%} (73%) [74%] {73%} / 19% {20%} (19%) [17%] {18%} (18%) [16%] {16%} {+52%}
• Michele Bachmann 67% {68%} (67%) [70%] {69%} (64%) [67%] {74%} / 24% {23%} (21%) [20%] {21%} (24%) [20%] {15%} {+43%}
• Sarah Palin 69% {69%} (69%) [71%] {69%} (68%) [73%] {73%} / 27% {29%} (28%) [26%] {28%} (28%) [25%] {24%} {+42%}
• Rick Santorum 63% {62%} (62%) [64%] {62%} (62%) [67%] {69%} / 23% {23%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (20%) [18%] {15%} {+40%}
• Ron Paul 61% {60%} (61%) [63%] {65%} (65%) [61%] {62%} / 27% {28%} (27%) [25%] {24%} (24%) [25%] {25%} {+34%}
• Newt Gingrich 61% {60%} (57%) [53%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {55%} / 31% {34%} (35%) [36%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {36%} {+30%}
• Jon Huntsman 50% {48%} (50%) [51%] {50%} (55%) [55%] {55%} / 34% {35%} (31%) [27%] {28%} (25%) [24%] {26%} {+16%}

Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)

• Rick Perry +25% {+25%} (+22%) [+23%] {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
• Herman Cain +24% {+27%} (+28%) [+25%] {+22%} (+25%) [+27%] {+25%}
• Rudy Giuliani +15% {+17%} (+19%) [+19%] {+20%} (+19%) [+20%] {+20%}
• Sarah Palin +13% {+16%} (+14%) [+15%] {+18%} (+16%) [+18%] {+18%}
• Mitt Romney +12% {+11%} (+14%) [+15%] {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
• Michele Bachmann +11% {+13%} (+16%) [+20%] {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
• Rick Santorum +10% {+10%} (+7%) [+6%] {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
• Newt Gingrich +7% {+7%} (+4%) [+3%] {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}
• Ron Paul +6% {+6%} (+9%) [+11%] {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
• Jon Huntsman -2% {+1%} (+2%) [+4%] {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking August 22 - September 4, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 10 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by approximately 1,200 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 8-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.