Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mitt Romney 43% (39%) {38%} [43%] {40%} [44%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 40% (43%) {46%} [42%] {45%} [42%] (44%)

Surveys of 1,000 likely voters were conducted September 10-11, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-26, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the polls conducted August 17-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the polls conducted between July 14-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the polls conducted May 1-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted between March 6 and March 31, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted between January 3 and February 1, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Obama has the support of 79% of Democrats, while 73% of Republicans back Romney. Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, the Republican leads by 13 points – 42% to 29%. Eighty-two percent (82%) of Tea Party members favor Romney. Non-members prefer the president 50% to 34%.

Romney holds a 14-point lead among male voters, while female voters prefer Obama by seven points. The incumbent leads among voters under 30; Romney holds the edge among older voters.