Poll Watch: Rasmussen Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

Rasmussen Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey

• Rick Perry 29% (12%)
• Michele Bachmann 18% (22%)
• Mitt Romney 17% (21%)
• Ron Paul 14% (16%)
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Herman Cain 4% (4%)
• Jon Huntsman 3% (2%)
• Newt Gingrich 2% (5%)

Survey of 862 likely Iowa Republican Caucus participants was conducted August 31, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 4, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Perry has the support of 45% of Tea Party voters, while Romney holds a slight 24% to 20% lead over Perry among those who are not members of the grass roots movement.

However, just 27 % of all likely Iowa caucus goers are certain of how they will vote.

Eighty percent (80%) of likely Iowa caucus goers think it’s at least Somewhat Likely that the Republican nominee will defeat Obama. That includes 56% who say it’s Very Likely.