Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 46% [45%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 46%
• Ron Paul 43%

• Barack Obama 48% [46%] (48%)
• Rick Perry 44% [46%] (40%)

• Barack Obama 49% [47%] (50%) {46%}
• Michele Bachmann 42% [45%] (40%) {43%}

• Barack Obama 49% [48%] [50%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
• Newt Gingrich 42% [43%] [40%] (42%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 49% of the vote in North Carolina. In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the vote in NC.

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 50% [56%] (39%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 34% [29%] (38%) {33%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)

• Ron Paul 50%
• Barack Obama 36%

• Newt Gingrich 47% [48%] [33%] (38%) {43%} [27%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 42% [38%] [45%] (50%) {47%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [41%](39%)

• Rick Perry 47% [54%] (43%)
• Barack Obama 45% [31%] (42%)

• Michele Bachmann 45% [57%] (38%) {53%}
• Barack Obama 44% [34%] (43%) {36%}

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 60% of the Independent vote in North Carolina (27% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the Independent vote in NC (21% of the electorate). 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% [51%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 36% [38%] (38%) {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)

• Ron Paul 51%
• Barack Obama 36%

• Rick Perry 52% [53%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 39% [39%] (42%)

• Newt Gingrich 51% [51%] [41%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (55%)
• Barack Obama 41% [41%] [50%] (45%) {49%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (38%)

• Michele Bachmann 48% [53%] (47%) {46%}
• Barack Obama 41% [39%] (43%) {43%}

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 56% of the Male vote in North Carolina (46% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 60% of the Male vote in NC (41% of the electorate).

Among Women

• Barack Obama 54% [51%] (52%) {49%} [45%] (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 37% [39%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 56% [52%] (54%)
• Rick Perry 37% [40%] (32%)

• Barack Obama 57% [54%] (55%) {49%}
• Michele Bachmann 37% [39%] (34%) {41%}

• Barack Obama 55%
• Ron Paul 35%

• Barack Obama 57% [54%] [51%] (55%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%] (53%)
• Newt Gingrich 34% [36%] [40%] (38%) {46%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (37%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Female vote in North Carolina (54% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 54% of the Female vote in NC (59% of the electorate).

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 32% [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 49% [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-17%}
• Michele Bachmann 30% [29%] (29%) {34%} / 52% [52%] (48%) {42%} {-22%}
• Ron Paul 24% / 52% {-28%}
• Newt Gingrich 29% [22%] [23%] (28%) {31%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 58% [61%] [58%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-29%} 
• Rick Perry 24% [34%] (22%) / 56% [43%] (36%) {-32%}

Among Republicans

• Newt Gingrich 57% [39%] [40%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (55%) {54%} [65%] (56%) / 33% [41%] [39%] (34%) {27%} [23%] (23%) {19%} [23%] (20%) {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 50% [39%] (51%) {53%} [52%] (43%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [57%] (44%) / 30% [40%] (28%) {26%} [27%] (34%) {32%} [25%] (25%) {20%} [21%] (22%) {+20%}
• Rick Perry 44% [58%] (39%) / 35% [20%] (17%) {+9%}
• Michele Bachmann 37% [35%] (44%) {39%} / 40% [38%] (30%) {29%} {-3%}
• Ron Paul 34% / 42% {-8%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 37% [35%] (27%) {30%} [35%] (36%) {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 46% [50%] (48%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-9%}
• Ron Paul 31% / 42% {-11%}
• Michele Bachmann 31% [34%] (22%) {37%} / 50% [50%] (56%) {44%} {-19%}
• Newt Gingrich 26% [26%] [19%] (28%) {24%} [17%] (29%) {34%} [34%] (33%) / 56% [63%] [64%] (57%) {56%} [58%] (54%) {51%} [43%] (41%) {-30%} 
• Rick Perry 17% [44%] (23%) / 60% [34%] (38%) {-43%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 35% [33%] (36%) {37%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 48% [55%] (48%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-13%} 
• Ron Paul 29% / 50% {-21%}
• Newt Gingrich 34% [28%] [19%] (30%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [40%] (43%) / 57% [60%] [67%] (56%) {55%} [43%] (50%) {46%} [50%] (41%) {-23%}
• Rick Perry 29% [39%] (26%) / 55% [46%] (40%) {-26%}
• Michele Bachmann 29% [28%] (31%) {35%} / 56% [59%] (52%) {43%} {-27%}

Among Women

• Michele Bachmann 31% [29%] (27%) {33%} / 49% [47%] (44%) {40%} {-18%}
• Mitt Romney 28% [23%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 50% [49%] (44%) {42%} [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-22%}
• Newt Gingrich 25% [17%] [27%] (25%) {29%} [23%] (24%) {31%} [31%] (26%) / 59% [62%] [51%] (53%) {45%} [52%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {-34%} 
• Rick Perry 20% [30%] (18%) / 56% [40%] (32%) {-36%}
• Ron Paul 19% / 55% {-36%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 44% [43%] (46%) {45%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Disapprove 53% [53%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)

Survey of 760 North Carolina voters was conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 48% [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 36% [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 16% [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% [28%] (28%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 25% [22%] (30%) {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative;  22% [22%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 16% [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [11%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.