Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents Who Recognize Candidate

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Newt Gingrich 68% (65%) [64%] {64%} (65%) [67%] {66%} (63%) [64%] {61%} (61%) [61%]  {60%} (57%) [53%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {55%} / 24% (26%) [27%] {28%} (27%) [27%] {27%} (30%) [30%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {34%} (35%) [36%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {36%} {+44%}
• Mitt Romney 67% (67%) [68%] {70%} (66%) [67%] {71%} (72%) [72%] {74%} (71%) [71%] {70%} (73%) [74%] {72%} (73%) [74%] {73%} / 25% (24%) [24%] {22%} (24%) [23%] {18%} (19%) [20%] {18%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {18%} (18%) [16%] {16%} {+42%}
• Rick Santorum 58% (60%) [60%] {58%} (58%) [62%] {62%} (61%) [65%] {65%} (60%) [63%]  {62%} (62%) [64%] {62%} (62%) [67%] {69%} / 27% (26%) [28%] {27%} (25%) [23%] {24%} (23%) [19%] {21%} (22%) [23%] {23%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (20%) [18%] {15%} {+31%}
• Herman Cain 60% (66%) [76%] {76%} (74%) [76%] {77%} (75%) [77%] {76%} (73%) [73%] {74%} (74%) [74%] {77%} (76%) [77%] {72%} / 32% (26%) [18%] {16%} (16%) [14%] {13%} (14%) [15%] {15%} (13%) [14%] {13%} (14%) [13%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {16%} {+28%}
• Ron Paul 56% (56%) [58%] {57%} (55%) [53%] {53%} (56%) [57%] {57%} (59%) [61%] {60%} (61%) [63%] {65%} (65%) [61%] {62%} / 35% (34%) [34%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (33%) [32%] {34%} (30%) [27%] {28%} (27%) [25%] {24%} (24%) [25%] {25%} {+21%}
• Michele Bachmann 56% (55%) [55%] {56%} (56%) [57%] {59%} (59%) [62%] {65%} (64%) [67%] {68%} (67%) [70%] {69%} (64%) [67%] {74%} / 35% (36%) [37%] {36%} (34%) [33%] {32%} (31%) [29%] {29%} (27%) [24%] {23%} (21%) [20%] {21%} (24%) [20%] {15%} {+21%}
• Rick Perry 55% (54%) [58%] {63%} (60%) [60%] {63%} (68%) [71%] {74%} (73%) [73%] {71%} (69%) [70%] {70%} (74%) [73%] {67%} / 34% (36%) [33%] {28%} (29%) [30%] {27%} (21%) [17%] {15%} (16%) [13%] {14%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (15%) [15%] {17%} {+21%}
• Jon Huntsman 49% (51%) [50%] {47%} (46%) [52%] {54%} (50%) [51%] {53%} (53%) [50%] {48%} (50%) [51%] {50%} (55%) [55%] {55%} / 34% (35%) [38%] {36%} (36%) [34%] {31%} (31%) [32%] {32%} (34%) [34%] {35%} (31%) [27%] {28%} (25%) [24%] {26%} {+15%}

Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)

• Newt Gingrich +20% (+17%) [+14%] {+12%} (+12%) [+13%] {+13%} (+11%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+7%] {+7%} (+4%) [+3%] {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}
• Herman Cain +14% (+17%) [+25%] {+29%} (+30%) [+34%] {+34%} (+30%) [+26%] {+24%} (+22%) [+24%] {+27%} (+28%) [+25%] {+22%} (+25%) [+27%] {+25%}
• Mitt Romney +11% (+10%) [+10%] {+12%} (+13%) [+15%] {+14%} (+13%) [+14%] {+15%} (+16%) [+12%] {+11%} (+14%) [+15%] {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
• Rick Santorum +6% (+5%) [+6%] {+8%} (+8%) [+10%] {+10%} (+8%) [+11%] {+10%} (+8%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+6%] {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
• Ron Paul +2% (+4%) [+6%] {+6%} (+5%) [+2%] {+2%} (+3%) [+6%] {+7%} (+7%) [+6%] {+6%} (+9%) [+11%] {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
• Rick Perry +2% (0%) [+3%] {+6%} (+5%) [+4%] {+7%} (+15%) [+22%] {+24%} (+24%) [+25%] {+25%} (+22%) [+23%] {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
• Michele Bachmann +1% (+1%) [+3%] {+3%} (+3%) [+4%] {+4%} (+5%) [+8%] {+11%} (+10%) [+11%] {+13%} (+16%) [+20%] {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
• Jon Huntsman -2% (-3%) [-3%] {-2%} (-2%) [+1%] {+1%} (-1%) [+1%] {+2%} (-1%) [-2%] {+1%} (+2%) [+4%] {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}

Newt Gingrich

• Strongly Favorable 24% (21%) [19%] {18%} (18%) [19%] {18%} (16%) [16%] {15%} (13%) [13%] {15%} (12%) [10%] {9%} (8%) [10%] {11%}
• Favorable 44% (44%) [45%] {46%} (47%) [48%] {48%} (47%) [48%] {46%} (48%) [48%] {45%} (45%) [43%] {47%} (49%) [46%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 20% (22%) [22%] {22%} (21%) [22%] {22%} (24%) [24%] {25%} (27%) [25%] {26%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {29%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 4% (4%) [5%] {6%} (6%) [5%] {5%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (6%) [6%] {8%} (8%) [7%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {7%}

Mitt Romney

• Strongly Favorable 16% (16%) [16%] {16%} (16%) [19%] {18%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (19%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {17%} (18%) [21%] {19%}
• Favorable 51% (51%) [52%] {54%} (50%) [48%] {53%} (55%) [55%] {55%} (52%) [56%] {55%} (55%) [57%] {55%} (55%) [53%] {54%}
• Unfavorable 20% (19%) [18%] {18%} (20%) [19%] {14%} (16%) [17%] {15%} (17%) [16%] {16%} (15%) [14%] {15%} (15%) [13%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 5% (5%) [6%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {4%} (3%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%}

Rick Santorum

• Strongly Favorable 10% (8%) [10%] {12%} (11%) [12%] {12%} (12%) [13%] {12%} (11%) [13%] {13%} (9%) [9%] {9%} (11%) [13%] {13%}
• Favorable 48% (52%) [50%] {46%} (47%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [52%] {53%} (49%) [50%] {49%} (53%) [55%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {56%}
• Unfavorable 22% (22%) [24%] {23%} (22%) [21%] {22%} (20%) [17%] {19%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (18%) [17%] {16%} (16%) [16%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 5% (4%) [4%] {4%} (3%) [2%] {2%} (3%) [2%] {2%} (3%) [3%] {3%} (2%) [2%] {4%} (4%) [2%] {1%}

Herman Cain

• Strongly Favorable 22% (23%) [28%] {32%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (31%) [27%] {25%} (24%) [26%] {28%} (29%) [26%] {24%} (27%) [29%] {26%}
• Favorable 38% (43%) [48%] {44%} (41%) [41%] {42%} (44%) [50%] {51%} (49%) [47%] {46%} (45%) [48%] {53%} (49%) [48%] {46%}
• Unfavorable 23% (20%) [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {12%} (13%) [14%] {13%} (11%) [12%] {12%} (13%) [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {15%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 9% (6%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [2%] {1%} (1%) [1%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%) [1%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {1%}

Ron Paul

• Strongly Favorable 9% (9%) [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {9%} (10%) [12%] {13%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (14%) [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {11%}
• Favorable 47% (47%) [46%] {45%} (44%) [43%] {44%} (46%) [45%] {44%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (47%) [48%] {52%} (52%) [49%] {51%}
• Unfavorable 28% (29%) [28%] {28%} (28%) [28%] {28%} (27%) [26%] {28%} (25%) [23%] {23%} (22%) [21%] {20%} (20%) [21%] {22%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 7% (5%) [6%] {6%} (6%) [8%] {7%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [4%] {5%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {3%}

Michele Bachmann

• Strongly Favorable 9% (9%) [10%] {11%} (11%) [12%] {11%} (12%) [15%] {17%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (21%) [24%] {22%} (20%) [23%] {24%}
• Favorable 47% (46%) [45%] {45%} (45%) [45%] {48%} (47%) [47%] {48%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (46%) [46%] {47%} (44%) [44%] {50%}
• Unfavorable 26% (28%) [29%] {28%} (26%) [24%] {25%} (24%) [22%] {23%} (21%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [16%] {17%} (18%) [15%] {12%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 9% (8%) [8%] {8%} (8%) [9%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {6%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (6%) [5%] {3%}

Rick Perry

• Strongly Favorable 8% (7%) [11%] {13%} (11%) [11%] {13%} (19%) [25%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (25%) [25%] {24%} (26%) [26%] {23%}
• Favorable 47% (47%) [47%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {50%} (49%) [46%] {47%} (46%) [44%] {44%} (44%) [45%] {46%} (48%) [47%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 28% (28%) [25%] {21%} (22%) [23%] {21%} (17%) [14%] {12%} (12%) [10%] {12%} (13%) [11%] {14%} (13%) [12%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% (8%) [8%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {6%} (4%) [3%] {3%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (2%) [3%] {3%}

Jon Huntsman

• Strongly Favorable 4% (3%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [6%] {5%} (4%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [5%] {6%} (6%) [7%] {8%} (8%) [6%] {7%}
• Favorable 45% (48%) [46%] {43%} (42%) [46%] {49%} (46%) [45%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [44%] {42%} (47%) [49%] {48%}
• Unfavorable 28% (29%) [31%] {30%} (30%) [29%] {27%} (26%) [27%] {28%} (28%) [28%] {30%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (22%) [20%] {21%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 6% (6%) [7%] {6%} (6%) [5%] {4%} (5%) [5%] {4%} (6%) [6%] {5%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {5%}

Name Recognition

• Mitt Romney 89% (89%) [89%] {88%} (88%) [88%] {85%} (83%) [84%] {85%} (86%) [88%] {88%} (86%) [86%] {86%} (84%) [85%] {86%}
• Newt Gingrich 88% (86%) [85%] {86%} (87%) [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {86%} (86%) [86%] {85%} (85%) [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {85%}
• Herman Cain 88% (85%) [81%] {80%} (78%) [69%] {61%} (55%) [51%] {50%} (48%) [48%] {50%} (47%) [45%] {45%} (46%) [47%] {44%}
• Rick Perry 87% (84%) [83%] {86%} (85%) [82%] {80%} (80%) [79%] {76%} (75%) [74%] {75%} (67%) [59%] {54%} (54%) [56%] {55%}
• Ron Paul 85% (80%) [80%] {81%} (80%) [80%] {78%} (79%) [80%] {82%} (81%) [79%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {78%} (77%) [78%] {77%}
• Michele Bachmann 82% (84%) [86%] {84%} (83%) [85%] {84%} (84%) [83%] {84%} (84%) [84%] {85%} (83%) [81%] {78%} (76%) [78%] {77%}
• Rick Santorum 57% (55%) [55%] {57%} (57%) [55%] {54%} (54%) [53%] {53%} (54%) [52%] {52%} (51%) [51%] {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%}
• Jon Huntsman 48% (47%) [50%] {52%} (50%) [49%] {46%} (43%) [44%] {45%} (46%) [46%] {43%} (40%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [40%] {41%} 

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking November 7-20, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 10 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by approximately 1,400 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.   

Results from the poll conducted November 1-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 24 - November 6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-30, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 3-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 9, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19 - October 2, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 5-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22 - September 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 8-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.