Rasmussen 2012 GOP Nomination Survey
Regardless of which candidate you want to win the Republican Presidential Nomination, which candidate is most likely to win?
Inside the numbers:
- Herman Cain 26% [29%] (7%) {6%} [9%] (10%)
- Mitt Romney 23% [29%] (24%) {18%} [22%] (33%) {17%} [24%] (20%)
- Newt Gingrich 14% [10%] (9%) {5%} [6%] (9%) {9%} [11%] (13%)
- Rick Perry 8% [9%] (28%) {29%} [18%]
- Ron Paul 7% [5%] (6%) {9%} [10%] (7%) {8%} [4%] (5%)
- Michele Bachmann 2% [4%] (8%) {13%} [16%] (19%)
- Jon Huntsman 2% [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%)
- Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (3%) {1%}
- Not sure 13% [7%] (11%) {16%} [9%]
- Certain 32%
- Might change your mind 68%
- Mitt Romney 33%
- Herman Cain 29%
- Newt Gingrich 24%
- Mitt Romney 43% [42%]
- Herman Cain 42% [43%]
Regardless of which candidate you want to win the Republican Presidential Nomination, which candidate is most likely to win?
- Mitt Romney 49% [51%]
- Herman Cain 18% [17%]
Inside the numbers:
Cain leads among GOP voters who consider themselves Very Conservative with 38% of the vote. Among those who are Somewhat Conservative, Romney picks up 28% of the vote while Cain draws support from 24%.
Among Republican voters nationwide, 76% were able to correctly identify Cain as the candidate who was accused of sexual harassment in the 1990s.
Just 13% of GOP Primary voters think it’s Very Likely that the charges against Cain are serious and true. Another 25% think it’s Somewhat Likely. Forty-eight percent (48%) consider it unlikely, but that includes only 13% who say that it is Not at All Likely.
Among all voters nationally, 39% believe the allegations against Cain are at least somewhat likely to be serious and true, while 38% disagree.
If Romney is the nominee, only 12% would be Very Likely to consider voting for a third party candidate. Another 16% would be Somewhat Likely to do so. Seventy-five percent (75%) say they will support the Republican candidate in the general election even if their favorite candidate doesn’t win.
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