Poll Watch: Suffolk University/7NEWS New Hampshire 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Suffolk University/7NEWS New Hampshire 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Mitt Romney 41% {41%} [36%] (35%)
• Newt Gingrich 14% {4%} [2%] (3%)
• Ron Paul 14% {14%} [8%] (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 9% {10%} [4%] (0%)
• Herman Cain 8% {1%} [2%] (2%)
• Rick Santorum 3% {1%} [1%] (2%)
• Rick Perry 2% {8%} [2%]
• Michele Bachmann 1% {5%} [11%] (3%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% {1%} [0%] (0%)
• Fred Karger 1% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
• Undecided 9% {11%} [21%] (13%)

How likely are you to change your mind about your choice before the January Primary - would you say it's very likely you'll change your mind, somewhat likely you'll change your mind, or unlikely you'll change your mind?

• Very likely I'll change my mind 9%
• Somewhat likely I'll change my mind 43%
• Unlikely I'll change my mind 42%

If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out of the race, who would you vote for instead?

• Mitt Romney 20% {21%} [14%] (17%)
• Newt Gingrich 19% {5%} [3%] (8%)
• Ron Paul 11% {9%} [4%] (6%)
• Herman Cain 9% {3%} [2%] (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 8% {5%} [3%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 6% {3%} [4%] (1%)
• Rick Perry 4% {20%} [2%]
• Michele Bachmann 3% {6%} [12%] (4%)
• Gary Johnson 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Fred Karger 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Undecided 21% {27%} [38%] (30%)

Despite who you're personally voting for, who do you expect the next president will be - Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?

• Mitt Romney 33% {28%} [27%] (20%)
• Barack Obama 29% {22%} [24%] (28%)
• Newt Gingrich 7% {0%} [1%] (1%)
• Herman Cain 5% {0%} [0%] (1%)
• Rick Perry 12% [1%]
• Ron Paul 4% {3%} [2%] (1%)
• Michele Bachmann 2% {1%} [7%] (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% {1%} [0%] (0%)
• Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [2%] (1%)
• Gary Johnson 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Fred Karger 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Undecided 20% {32%} [34%] (30%)

Which Republican candidate would do best against Barack Obama in a debate?

• Mitt Romney 34%
• Newt Gingrich 34%
• Herman Cain 8%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Jon Huntsman 5%
• Michele Bachmann 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Rick Perry 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 13%

How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?

• Very satisfied 20% {16%} [18%] (10%)
• Somewhat satisfied 43% {52%} [48%] (43%)
• Somewhat dissatisfied 15% {19%} [18%] (27%)
• Very dissatisfied 18% {11%} [10%] (13%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 69% {69%} [64%] (65%) / 19% {20%} [19%] (22%) {+50%}
• Jon Huntsman 35% {26%} [19%] (8%) / 21% {24%} [18%] (7%) {+14%}
• Ron Paul 46% {46%} [36%] (41%) / 37% {34%} [36%] (32%) {+9%}
• Newt Gingrich 45% {36%} [24%] (38%) / 37% {52%} [56%] (38%) {+8%}
• Rick Santorum 27% {26%} [27%] / 26% {23%} [20%] {+1%}
• Herman Cain 40% {29%} [24%] / 41% {18%} [15%] {-1%}
• Sarah Palin 33% {35%} [37%] (42%) / 55% {56%} [50%] (46%) {-22%}
• Michele Bachmann 27% {33%} [44%] (25%) / 53% {45%} [22%] (22%) {-26%}
• Rick Perry 21% {36%} / 52% {32%} {-31%}
• Barack Obama 25% {22%} [25%] (36%) / 68% {72%} [70%] (59%) {-43%}

Is Mitt Romney presidential?

• Yes 83%
• No 11%

Is Newt Gingrich presidential?

• Yes 52%
• No 37%

Is Ron Paul presidential?

• Yes 41%
• No 47%

Is Herman Cain presidential?

• Yes 33%
• No 54%

Is Rick Perry presidential?

• Yes 23%
• No 59%

Do you trust Mitt Romney to say what he believes, even if it is unpopular?

• Yes 51% {60%}
• No 37% {30%}

Do you think Mitt Romney is comfortable around regular people?

• Yes 71% {68%}
• No 19% {18%}

Do you think that the near-universal health care bill passed by Democrats last year should be repealed, modified or left alone?

• Repealed 52% {55%} [53%] (52%)
• Modified 30% {30%} [27%] (34%)
• Left alone 11% {11%} [13%] (10%)

Survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted November 16-20, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 58% {50%} [48%] (50%) Republican; 41% {42%} [39%] (38%) Independent; 0% {6%} [9%] (10%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 47% {49%} [54%] (45%) Conservative; 45% {42%} [38%] (43%) Moderate; 7% {7%} [6%] (9%) Liberal.   Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 2, 2011 are in parentheses.