Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION
  • Newt Gingrich 40% {13%} (8%) [5%] {8%} (6%) [11%] {13%} (10%)  
  • Mitt Romney 23% {28%} (23%) [23%] {30%} (30%) [21%] {21%} (19%)
  • Ron Paul 9% {10%} (11%) [9%] {9%} (7%)
  • Michele Bachmann 8% {4%} (5%) [8%] {16%} (3%) [5%]
  • Rick Perry 6% {10%} (16%) [38%] {11%} (8%)
  • Jon Huntsman 5% {0%} (3%) [2%] {2%] (1%) 
  • Rick Santorum 3% {2%} (1%) [3%] {3%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (3%) 
Second Choice
  • Mitt Romney 26% {20%} (21%) [18%] {19%}
  • Newt Gingrich 17% {14%} (13%) [9%] {6%}
  • Ron Paul 13% {10%} (6%) [5%] {9%} 
  • Michele Bachmann 11% {10%} (10%) [17%] {15%}
  • Rick Perry 10% {12%} (12%) [19%] {9%} 
  • Rick Santorum 8% {3%} (3%) [4%] {3%} 
  • Jon Huntsman 6% {2%} (5%) [2%] {3%}
If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, and the candidates were Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul, which one would you favor?
  • Newt Gingrich 53%
  • Mitt Romney 31%
  • Ron Paul 13%
Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, and the candidates were Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, which one would you favor?
  • Newt Gingrich 59%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
    GENERAL ELECTION

    Among Registered Voters
    • Barack Obama 47% {49%} (46%) [46%] {48%} [49%] {49%} [47%]
    • Mitt Romney 45% {43%} (44%) [45%] {41%} [43%] {40%} [40%]
    • Barack Obama 51% (55%)
    • Newt Gingrich 40% (37%)
    • Barack Obama 50%
    • Ron Paul 37%
    How confident are you that __________________ has the right set of personal characteristics to be president of the United States?

    Barack Obama
    • Confident 39%
    • Not confident 61%
    Mitt Romney
    • Confident 20%
    • Not confident 74%
    Newt Gingrich
    • Confident 17%
    • Not confident 77%
    Ron Paul
    • Confident 11%
    • Not confident 72%
    Rick Perry
    • Confident 8%
    • Not confident 79%
      I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative.

      Barack Obama
      • Very positive 22% {26%} (23%) [24%] [27%] [28%] {28%} (29%) [25%]
      • Somewhat positive 23% {19%} (23%) [20%] [22%] [22%] {21%} (23%) [23%]
      • Neutral 13% {15%} (14%) [12%] [14%] [14%] {15%} (15%) [14%]
      • Somewhat negative 15% {13%} (12%) [14%] [13%] [13%] {15%} (14%) [14%]
      • Very negative 27% {27%} (28%) [30%] [24%] [23%] {20%} (18%) [24%]
      Ron Paul
      • Very positive 5% {5%} (5%)
      • Somewhat positive 14% {14%} (13%)
      • Neutral 32% {31%} (29%)
      • Somewhat negative 14% {16%} (16%)
      • Very negative 10% {12%} (13%)
      Mitt Romney
      • Very positive 4% {5%} (6%) [5%] [7%] {6%} [10%]
      • Somewhat positive 20% {21%} (21%) [19%] [20%] {19%} [18%]
      • Neutral 30% {32%} (30%) [32%] [30%] {30%} [30%]
      • Somewhat negative 21% {17%} (17%) [18%] [16%] {13%} [10%]
      • Very negative 11% {13%} (12%) [11%] [10%] {12%} [10%]
      Newt Gingrich
      • Very positive 6% [3%] [6%] {9%}
      • Somewhat positive 18% [13%] [18%] {15%}
      • Neutral 23% [23%] [24%] {27%}
      • Somewhat negative 17% [21%] [15%] {16%}
      • Very negative 23% [27%] [22%] {19%}
      If Iran continues with its nuclear research and is close to developing a nuclear weapon, do you believe that the United States should or should not initiate military action to destroy Iran's ability to make nuclear weapons?
      • Should Initiate Military Action 54%
      • Should Not Initiate Military Action 38%
      Survey of 1,000 adults, including subsamples of 830 registered voters, and 271 registered Republican primary voters, was conducted December 7-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points among adults; +/- 6.0 percentage points among registered GOP primary voters.  Results from the poll conducted November 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-13, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-17, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in curly brackets.

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