Thursday, December 01, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey
    • Barack Obama 45% (46%) {47%} [46%] (46%)
    • Mitt Romney 44% (45%) {43%} [44%] (44%)
        • Barack Obama 50% (50%) [50%] (47%)
        • Newt Gingrich 44% (42%) [42%] (42%)
        • Barack Obama 46% (45%)
        • Ron Paul 40% (44%)
        • Barack Obama 50% (50%)
        • Rick Perry 38% (43%)
        • Barack Obama 51%
        • Herman Cain 37%
          Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the vote in Florida. In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the vote in FL.

          Among Men
            • Mitt Romney 49% (48%) {48%} [47%] (45%)
            • Barack Obama 40% (42%) {44%} [42%] (46%)
              • Newt Gingrich 49% (45%) [48%] (45%)
              • Barack Obama 47% (47%) [46%] (49%)
              • Ron Paul 44% (50%)
              • Barack Obama 43% (39%)
                • Barack Obama 49% (47%)
                • Rick Perry 40% (45%)
                • Barack Obama 49%
                • Herman Cain 40%
                Note: In 2008, John McCain received 47% of the Male vote in Florida (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 53% of the Male vote in FL (46% of the electorate).
                Among Women
                • Barack Obama 48% (50%) {49%} [49%] (46%)
                • Mitt Romney 40% (43%) {38%} [41%] (42%)
                      • Barack Obama 52% (52%) [55%] (45%)
                      • Newt Gingrich 39% (39%) [37%] (40%)
                      • Barack Obama 50% (51%)
                      • Ron Paul 36% (39%)
                      • Barack Obama 52% (52%)
                      • Rick Perry 35% (40%)
                      • Barack Obama 53%
                      • Herman Cain 34%
                        Note: In 2008, John McCain received 47% of the Female vote in Florida (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 50% of the Female vote in FL (54% of the electorate).
                        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                        • Mitt Romney 37% (40%) {41%} [39%] (43%) / 47% (46%) {45%} [39%] (38%) {-10%}
                        • Newt Gingrich 37% (28%) [32%] (36%) / 51% (57%) [48%] (47%) {-14%}
                        • Ron Paul 27% (31%) / 53% (51%) {-26%}
                        • Herman Cain 26% / 59% {-33%}
                        • Rick Perry 15% (29%) / 67% (58%) {-52%}
                        Among Moderates
                        • Mitt Romney 40% (27%) {42%} [33%] (31%) / 43% (55%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {-3%}
                        • Ron Paul 31% (33%) / 46% (47%) {-15%}
                        • Newt Gingrich 32% (18%) [16%] (19%) / 55% (66%) [63%] (62%) {-23%}
                        • Herman Cain 22% / 62% {-40%}
                        • Rick Perry 11% (15%) / 69% (69%) {-58%}
                        Among Men
                        • Newt Gingrich 44% (32%) [37%] (39%) / 49% (53%) [47%] (53%) {-5%}
                        • Mitt Romney 42% (44%) {46%} [42%] (44%) / 47% (42%) {42%} [37%] (43%) {-5%}
                        • Ron Paul 33% (36%) / 53% (48%) {-20%}
                        • Herman Cain 31% / 58% {-27%}
                        • Rick Perry 18% (31%) / 70% (57%) {-52%}
                        Among Women
                        • Mitt Romney 32% (37%) {37%} [36%] (42%) / 47% (49%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-15%}
                        • Newt Gingrich 30% (25%) [28%] (32%) / 54% (60%) [48%] (40%) {-24%}
                        • Ron Paul 22% (26%) / 53% (54%) {-31%}
                        • Herman Cain 23% / 60% {-37%} 
                        • Rick Perry 13% (27%) / 64% (59%) {-51%}
                          Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
                          • Approve 45% (46%) {48%} [48%] (45%)
                          • Disapprove 50% (51%) {49%} [47%] (49%)
                          Among Moderates
                          • Approve 53% (64%) {59%} [73%] (62%)
                          • Disapprove 39% (32%) {37%} [24%] (30%)
                          Among Men
                          • Approve 43% (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
                          • Disapprove 52% (53%) {53%} [51%] (52%)
                          Among Women
                          • Approve 46% (47%) {52%} [52%] (45%)
                          • Disapprove 48% (50%) {45%} [42%] (46%)
                            Survey of 700 Florida voters was conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 38% (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 20% (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 36% (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 23% (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 14% (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 9% (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.

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