Friday, January 13, 2012

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Mitt Romney 34% {28%} [20%] (24%) {26%} [22%] (21%) {18%} [23%] (22%)
  • Newt Gingrich 18% {28%} [24%] (22%) {8%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (5%) 
  • Ron Paul 15% {14%} [9%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (13%) {6%} [14%] (12%)
  • Rick Santorum 15% {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%) 
  • Rick Perry 9% {7%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [30%] (32%) {32%} [18%] (17%) 
  • Jon Huntsman 4% {2%} [3%] (3%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [5%] (1%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 3% {5%} [3%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} [5%] (10%)
  • No opinion 3% {4%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
Would you say you will definitely support that candidate in 2012, or is it possible you would change your mind?
  • Definitely support 37% {35%} [27%] (31%) {33%}
  • Might change mind 56% {56%} [67%] (61%) {67%}
Which Republican candidate is the most qualified to be Commander-in-Chief?
  • Newt Gingrich 30% [36%]
  • Mitt Romney 28% [20%]
  • Ron Paul 14% [8%]
  • Rick Santorum 9% [2%]
  • Rick Perry 8% [12%]
  • Jon Huntsman 3% [3%]
Which Republican candidate do you think is the most likeable?
  • Mitt Romney 37% {30%} [29%] {29%} (21%)
  • Rick Santorum 17% {5%} [3%] {3%} (2%)
  • Ron Paul 15% {10%} [7%] {4%} (7%) 
  • Newt Gingrich 10% {15%} [9%] {2%} (3%)
  • Rick Perry 9% {11%} [14%] {13%} (25%
  • Jon Huntsman 3% {4%} [2%] {0%} (1%)
Which Republican candidate do you think has the best chance of beating Barack Obama in the general election next November?
  • Mitt Romney 55% {36%} [40%] {41%} (26%)
  • Newt Gingrich 13% {35%} [21%] {5%} (5%)
  • Ron Paul 9% {6%} [4%] {7%} (5%)
  • Rick Santorum 9% {2%} [2%] {1%} (0%)
  • Rick Perry 4% {7%} [9%] {12%} (42%
  • Jon Huntsman 1% {0%} [1%] {1%} (2%)
Would you feel enthusiastic, pleased but not enthusiastic, displeased but not upset, or upset if Mitt Romney won the Republican presidential nomination?
  • Enthusiastic 17% [25%] (27%) [21%]
  • Pleased but not enthusiastic 47% [44%] (49%) [49%]
  • Displeased but not upset 22% [18%] (20%) [22%]
  • Upset 13% [10%] (5%) [7%]
Suppose the only Republican candidates were Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich. Which of those two would you support?
  • Mitt Romney 59%
  • Newt Gingrich 37%
Suppose the only Republican candidates were Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. Which of those two would you support?
  • Mitt Romney 60%
  • Rick Santorum 37%
Suppose the only Republican candidates were Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. Which of those two would you support?
  • Mitt Romney 67%
  • Ron Paul 31%
Survey of 449 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted January 11-12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 24-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2011 are in square brackets.

No comments: