Poll Watch: AP-GfK 2012 Presidential Survey

AP-GfK 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION

• Rick Santorum 33% {3%} [2%] 
• Mitt Romney 32% {27%} [30%]
• Newt Gingrich 15% {33%} [7%]
• Ron Paul 15% {9%} [8%]
• None of them (Vol) 2% {6%} [2%]
• Don’t know (Vol) 3% {6%} [7%]

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 51% {47%} [48%]
• Mitt Romney 43% {46%} [45%]

• Barack Obama 52%
• Rick Santorum 43%

• Barack Obama 53%
• Ron Paul 44%

• Barack Obama 52% {51%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% {42%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% {48%} [49%] (39%) {45%} [45%] (41%) / 43% {39%} [37%] (41%) {35%} [35%] (33%) {+7%}
• Ron Paul 47% {37%} [38%] (37%) {39%} [36%] / 40% {36%} [35%] (36%) {31%} [35%] {+7%}
• Rick Santorum 44% {25%} [25%] (20%) {25%} [24%] (23%) / 42% {31%} [32%] (31%) {27%} [25%] (21%) {+2%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% {40%} [35%] (27%) {26%} [35%] (40%) / 58% {47%} [51%] (57%) {59%} [47%] (42%){-25%}

Survey of 1,000 adults (84% of whom are registered to vote), including a subsample of 450 Republicans and GOP-leaning independents, was conducted February 16-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points among all adults.  Party ID: 29% Democrat; 25% Republican; 30% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-28, 2011 are in parentheses.