Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 45% (43%) {43%} [43%] (41%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (47%) {45%} [44%] (47%)

• Barack Obama 45%
• Ron Paul 43%

• Barack Obama 47%
• Rick Santorum 44%

• Barack Obama 49% (47%) {46%} [44%] (44%)
• Newt Gingrich 42% (45%) {44%} [44%] (45%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 50% of the vote in Missouri. In 2004, George W. Bush received 53% of the vote in MO.

Among Independents

• Ron Paul 47%
• Barack Obama 36%
  

• Mitt Romney 46% (43%) {39%} [45%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 37% (40%) {42%} [33%] (35%)

• Rick Santorum 45%
• Barack Obama 41%

• Barack Obama 44% (51%) {47%} [39%] (41%)
• Newt Gingrich 39% (38%) {33%} [41%] (43%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 51% of the Independent vote in Missouri (26% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the Independent vote in MO (29% of the electorate). 

 Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 58%
  
• Ron Paul 27%

• Barack Obama 61% (61%) {63%} [61%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 27% (28%) {22%} [25%] (28%)

• Barack Obama 62%
• Rick Santorum 24%

• Barack Obama 64% (70%) {70%} [65%] (63%)
• Newt Gingrich 25% (23%) {15%} [24%] (24%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 38% of the Moderate vote in Missouri (45% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 46% of the Moderate vote in MO (45% of the electorate).



Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 35% / 47% {-12%}
• Mitt Romney 30% (28%) {31%} [32%] (30%) / 54% (51%) {45%} [44%] (42%) {-24%}
• Ron Paul 26% / 55% {-29%}
• Newt Gingrich 29% (25%) {29%} [31%] (33%) / 59% (60%) {50%} [50%] (48%) {-30%}

Among Independents

• Ron Paul 34% / 41% {-7%}
• Rick Santorum 35% / 46% {-9%}
• Mitt Romney 34% (28%) {26%} [35%] (26%) / 48% (48%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {-14%}
• Newt Gingrich 27% (17%) {18%} [28%] (27%) / 62% (69%) {60%} [55%] (53%) {-35%}

Among Moderates

• Ron Paul 34% / 48% {-14%}
• Mitt Romney 28% (25%) {26%} [29%] (20%) / 59% (50%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {-31%}
• Rick Santorum 23% / 58% {-35%}
• Newt Gingrich 16% (12%) {10%} [19%] (17%) / 70% (76%) {68%} [64%] (64%) {-54%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% (43%) {43%} [43%] (43%)
• Disapprove 50% (53%) {53%} [52%] (52%)

Survey of 582 Missouri voters was conducted January 27-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 39% (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 35% (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 27% (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 22% (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 21% (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 20% (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 10% (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.