Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 31% [20%] (24%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} 
• Mitt Romney 25% [30%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (17%) {12%} [16%] (23%) {25%}
• Newt Gingrich 23% [30%] (25%) {51%} [22%] (17%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {14%}
• Ron Paul 8% [11%] (9%) {7%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (6%) {9%}
• Someone else/Not sure 13% [9%] (11%) {11%} [8%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {10%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Santorum 34%
• Newt Gingrich 26%
• Mitt Romney 25%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Someone else/Not sure 11%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 26% 
  
• Rick Santorum 24%
• Ron Paul 18%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
  
• Someone else/Not sure 18%

Very Conservative

• Rick Santorum 35%
• Newt Gingrich 32%
• Mitt Romney 19%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Someone else/Not sure 10%

Somewhat Conservative

• Rick Santorum 33%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Newt Gingrich 16%
  
• Ron Paul 8%
• Someone else/Not sure 13%

Among Men

• Rick Santorum 31%
• Newt Gingrich 25%
• Mitt Romney 23%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Someone else/Not sure 9%

Among Women

• Rick Santorum 31%
• Mitt Romney 27%
• Newt Gingrich 20%
  
• Ron Paul 4%
• Someone else/Not sure 17%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 52% [45%] (42%) {37%} [34%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 48% [55%] (58%) {63%} [66%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 43%
• Mitt Romney 33%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Not sure 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 58% [62%] (62%) / 29% [25%] (22%) {+29%}
• Newt Gingrich 45% [50%] (48%) {73%} [65%] (58%) {42%} {38%} [55%] (62%) {61%} [63%] / 41%  [35%] (35%) {17%} [25%] (31%) {43%} {47%} [25%] (18%) {21%} [21%] {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 43% [53%] (46%) {50%} [53%] (50%) {45%} [46%] (56%) {53%} [56%] (50%) {57%} [49%] / 43% [34%] (38%) {34%} [30%] (31%) {38%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {0%}
• Ron Paul 28% [32%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (34%) / 55% [55%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (45%) {-27%}

Survey of 411 likely North Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted February 29 - March 1, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 75% Republican; 25% Independent.  Political ideology: 49% [40%] (39%) {40%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {39%} Very conservative; 34% [37%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} Somewhat conservative; 13% [14%] (17%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} Moderate; 4% [6%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 1% [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.