Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% (47%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 49% (48%) {46%}
• Rick Santorum 44% (46%) {46%}

• Barack Obama 48% (47%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {46%}
• Ron Paul 41% (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {43%}

• Barack Obama 51% (50%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] [50%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
• Newt Gingrich 42% (45%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {42%} [43%] [40%] (42%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 49% of the vote in North Carolina. In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the vote in NC.

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 49% (43%) {51%} [45%] (49%) {50%} [56%] (39%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)
  
• Barack Obama 44% (48%) {31%} [40%] (34%) {34%} [29%] (38%) {33%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)

• Ron Paul 43% (45%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {50%}
• Barack Obama 42% (43%) {31%} [39%] (38%) {36%}

• Barack Obama 45% (51%) {33%}
  
• Rick Santorum 45% (42%) {53%}

• Barack Obama 49% (52%) {37%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [38%] [45%] (50%) {47%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [41%] (39%)
• Newt Gingrich 42% (40%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {47%} [48%] [33%] (38%) {43%} [27%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (44%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 60% of the Independent vote in North Carolina (27% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the Independent vote in NC (21% of the electorate).


Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 36% (35%) {35%} / 52% (50%) {42%} {-16%}
• Mitt Romney 31% (31%) {34%} [32%] (36%) {32%} [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 56% (56%) {48%} [51%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-25%}
• Ron Paul 27% (24%) {21%} [26%] (22%) {24%} / 57% (60%) {58%} [54%] (54%) {52%} {-30%} 
  
• Newt Gingrich 28% (30%) {28%} [41%] (35%) {29%} [22%] [23%] (28%) {31%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 59% (58%) {57%} [49%] (53%) {58%} [61%] [58%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-31%}   

Among Independents

• Rick Santorum 38% (34%) {39%} / 49% (51%) {41%} {-11%}
• Ron Paul 33% (39%) {29%} [34%] (44%) {31%} / 49% (46%) {48%} [44%] (33%) {42%} {-16%} 
  
• Mitt Romney 36% (31%) {35%} [33%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (27%) {30%} [35%] (36%) {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 53% (57%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {46%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-17%}
  
• Newt Gingrich 26% (24%) {29%} [41%] (35%) {26%} [26%] [19%] (28%) {24%} [17%] (29%) {34%} [34%] (33%) / 65% (61%) {60%} [43%] (49%) {56%} [63%] [64%] (57%) {56%} [58%] (54%) {51%} [43%] (41%) {-39%}  

Survey of 804 North Carolina voters was conducted March 8-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% (43%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 34% (35%) {34%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 21% (23%) {18%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% (29%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 25% (24%) {27%} [24%] (27%) {25%} [22%] (30%) {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 20% (22%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 15% (15%) {16%} [17%] (17%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 12% (10%) {10%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [11%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.