Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Rick Santorum 43% (12%) {14%} [11%]
  • Mitt Romney 25% (12%) {17%} [14%]
  • Newt Gingrich 13% (32%) {6%} [16%]
  • Ron Paul 9% (9%) {9%} [4%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% (9%) {8%} [8%]
Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
  • Strongly committed to that candidate 52% (38%)
  • Might end up supporting someone else 48% (62%)
If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?
  • Rick Santorum 51%
  • Mitt Romney 28%
  • Ron Paul 12%
  • Not sure 9%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Rick Santorum 64% (56%) {56%} [54%] / 30% (30%) {29%} [27%] {+34%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {46%} [52%] / 40% (39%) {35%} [25%] {+6%}
  • Newt Gingrich 42% (63%) [54%] / 43% (24%) [25%] {-1%}
  • Ron Paul 34% (35%) / 54% (44%) {-20%}
Among Evangelical Christians
  • Rick Santorum 71% / 23% {+48%}
  • Newt Gingrich 45% / 38% {+7%
  • Mitt Romney 39% / 46% {-7%}
  • Ron Paul 28% / 56% {-28%}
Among Non-Evangelicals
  • Rick Santorum 59% / 34% {+25%}
  • Mitt Romney 51% / 35% {+16%} 
  • Newt Gingrich 40% / 46% {-6%
  • Ron Paul 38% / 52% {-14%}
      Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
      • Yes 27% (31%)
      • No 61% (57%)
      Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
      • Are an Evangelical 41%
      • Are not 59%
      Among Evangelical Christians
      • Rick Santorum 53%
      • Mitt Romney 16%
      • Newt Gingrich 14%
      • Ron Paul 8%
      • Someone else/Not sure 8%
      Among Non-Evangelicals
      • Rick Santorum 36%
      • Mitt Romney 31%
      • Newt Gingrich 12%
      • Ron Paul 10%
      • Someone else/Not sure 11%
      Survey of 564 Republican primary voters was conducted March 8-11, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 38% (39%) {36%} Somewhat conservative; 35% (41%) {40%} Very conservative; 18% (15%) {16%} Moderate; 6% (4%) {5%} Somewhat liberal; 3% (2%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in square brackets.

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