Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Tommy Thompson 34%
• Mark Neumann 16%
• Eric Hovde 14%
• Jeff Fitzgerald 10%
• Undecided/Don't know 25%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Tommy Thompson (R) 49% (48%)
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 39% (42%)

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 43% (44%)
• Mark Neumann (R) 41% (40%)

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% (45%)
• Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 36% (37%)

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 44%
• Eric Hovde (R) 33%

Among Likely Voters

• Tommy Thompson (R) 49%
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 41%

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 44%
• Mark Neumann (R) 44%

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 45%
• Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 39%

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 45%
• Eric Hovde (R) 36%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tommy Thompson 48% (44%) / 36% (34%) {+12%}
• Eric Hovde 14% / 13% {+1%}
• Mark Neumann 24% (22%) / 24% (22%) {0%}
• Tammy Baldwin 27% (21%) / 30% (27%) {-3%}
• Jeff Fitzgerald 17% (17%) / 22% (23%) {-5%}

Survey of 707 registered voters, including subsamples of 594 likely general election voters, and 344 likely GOP primary voters, was conducted June 13-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.1 percentage points among likely general election voters; +/- 5.4 percentage points among likely GOP primary voters.  Party ID: 30% (34%) Democrat; 27% (26%) Republican; 39% (35%) Independent.  Political views: 34% (38%) Moderate; 31% (30%) Conservative; 16% (14%) Liberal; 10% (8%) Very conservative; 6% (4%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses.