Friday, July 20, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 48% [47%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% [41%] (44%)
  • Some other candidate 4% [7%]
  • Undecided 5% [5%]
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?
  • Very favorable 19% [20%]
  • Somewhat favorable 27% [26%]
  • Somewhat unfavorable 23% [25%]
  • Very unfavorable 28% [27%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 46% [46%] / 51% [52%] {-5%
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
  • Strongly approve 27% [28%] (24%)
  • Somewhat approve 23% [24%] (21%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 8% [7%] (14%)
  • Strongly disapprove 40% [40%] (40%)
Generally speaking, is Mitt Romney’s track record in business primarily a reason to vote for him or vote against him?
  • Reason to vote for him 38%
  • Reason to vote against him 42%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted July 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-23, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
The president holds a slight edge over Romney among both men and women. Among voters not affiliated with either political party in the state, Romney is ahead 48% to 38%.

Thirty-three percent (33%) of voters in the state believe the economy will get better if Romney wins the election and Republicans take control of Congress, compared to 30% who think that will happen if Obama and the Democrats are in charge. A plurality (41%) of Pennsylvania voters thinks the economy will get worse if Obama is reelected and Democrats control Congress. Thirty-four percent (34%) expect a worse economy if Romney and Republicans are in control.

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