Friday, September 07, 2012

Poll Watch: American Research Group 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG 2012 Presidential Poll

If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan?
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46%
  • Other/Undecided 5%
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 85%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 11%
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 92%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 5%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 54%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 41%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45%
Age 18-49
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46%
Age 50+
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 52%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43%
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 57%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 39%
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 89%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 5%
    Survey of 1,200 likely voters was conducted September 4-6, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 34% Republican; 28% Independent. Gender: 48% Men; 52% Women.  Race: 76% White; 12% Black. Age: 18-49: 49%; 50 and older: 51%.

    Inside the numbers:
    Romney leads Obama 50% to 46% among likely voters interviewed on a landline (83% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 48% to 45% among likely voters interviewed on a cell phone (17% of likely voters).

    A total of 46% of likely voters say they would never vote for Obama in the general election and 43% of likely voters say they would never vote for Romney in the general election.

    A total of 87% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Obama say they would never vote for Romney. A total of 89% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Romney say they would never vote for Obama.

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