Thursday, October 20, 2011

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

Rasmussen Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey
  • Herman Cain 28% [4%] (4%)
  • Mitt Romney 21% [17%] (21%)
  • Ron Paul 10% [14%] (16%)
  • Newt Gingrich 9% [2%] (5%)
  • Michele Bachmann 8% [18%] (22%)
  • Rick Perry 7% [29%] (12%)
  • Rick Santorum 4% [4%]
  • Jon Huntsman 2% [3%] (2%)
Survey of 800 likely Iowa Republican Caucus participants was conducted October 19, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Only one-third of the caucus-goers (32%) are certain of their vote and don’t expect to change their mind. Among these voters, 30% prefer Cain, 22% Romney, and 17% Paul.

Among those absolutely certain they will show up and participate in the caucus, Cain leads Romney 31% to 18%.

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