Monday, November 14, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey
  • Newt Gingrich 28% (15%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%]  
  • Herman Cain 25% (30%) {8%} [6%] (11%) {20%} [12%]
  • Mitt Romney 18% (22%) {18%} [20%] (20%) {27%} [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%]
  • Rick Perry 6% (14%) {31%} [33%] (12%)
  • Michele Bachmann 5% (5%) {9%} [16%] (21%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {8%}
  • Ron Paul 5% (5%) {11%} [6%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]
  • Jon Huntsman 3% (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {2%} [4%]
  • Gary Johnson 1% (0%)
Among Tea Party Members
  • Herman Cain 33% (39%) {13%}
  • Newt Gingrich 31% (16%) {10%}
  • Mitt Romney 11% (13%) {10%}
  • Rick Perry 6% (14%) {33%}
  • Michele Bachmann 5% (8%) {14%}
  • Ron Paul 4% (5%) {9%}
  • Jon Huntsman 1% (1%) {0%}
  • Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {4%}
  • Gary Johnson 1% (1%)
Among Non-Tea Party Republicans
  • Newt Gingrich 26% (12%) {10%}
  • Mitt Romney 22% (29%) {28%}
  • Herman Cain 20% (27%) {6%}
  • Rick Perry 7% (14%) {26%}
  • Michele Bachmann 5% (3%) {5%}
  • Ron Paul 5% (4%) {11%}
  • Jon Huntsman 4% (3%) {4%}
  • Gary Johnson 1% (0%)
  • Rick Santorum 0% (0%) {1%}
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Newt Gingrich 68% (57%) {46%} {36%} [39%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 23% (30%) {39%} {49%} [44%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+45%} 
    • Herman Cain 57% (66%) / 31% (15%) {+26%}
    • Mitt Romney 48% (55%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 39% (31%) {32%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+9%}
    • Michele Bachmann 40% (41%) {45%} [51%] (48%) / 41% (39%) {36%} [32%] (26%) {-1%}
    • Rick Perry 35% (42%) {58%} [64%] / 49% (38%) {24%} [17%] {-14%
    • Ron Paul 31% (29%) [44%] / 52% (54%) [30%] {-21%
    Among Tea Party Members
    • Newt Gingrich 81% (66%) {56%} / 14% (24%) {31%} {+67%} 
    • Herman Cain 77% (80%) / 15% (9%) {+62%}
    • Michele Bachmann 57% (58%) {69%} / 28% (26%) {20%} {+29%}
    • Rick Perry 45% (44%) {66%} / 40% (36%) {19%} {+5%
    • Mitt Romney 43% (50%) {48%} / 45% (36%) {39%} {-2%}
    • Ron Paul 35% (31%) / 52% (58%) {-17%}
    Among Non-Tea Party Republicans
    • Newt Gingrich 60% (51%) {40%} / 31% (35%) {49%} {+29%} 
    • Mitt Romney 51% (56%) {61%} / 39% (30%) {27%} {+12%}
    • Herman Cain 47% (61%) / 41% (20%) {+6%}
    • Michele Bachmann 32% (32%) {29%} / 50% (49%) {51%} {-18%}
    • Ron Paul 32% (27%) / 54% (55%) {-22%
    • Rick Perry 31% (41%) {51%} / 54% (42%) {31%} {-23%
      Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
      • Yes 32% (32%) {38%}
      • No 54% (52%) {46%}
      Survey of 576 Republican primary voters was conducted November 10-13, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% (45%) {43%} [42%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 36% (32%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative; 18% (17%) {19%} [17%] (20%) {18%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 4% (3%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal; 3% (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

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