Friday, August 24, 2012

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Survey

Among Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47%
Among Registered Voters 
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 52% [52%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (54%) {51%} [47%] (52%) {47%} [49%] (49%) {54%}
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43% [45%] (46%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (45%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {43%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% [42%] (49%) {51%} [43%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45% [53%] (42%) {39%} [48%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 57% [61%] (55%) {55%} [67%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 37% [35%] (40%) {42%} [25%]
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 53% [45%] (49%) {47%} [46%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43% [51%] (44%) {48%} [49%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 54% [53%] (54%) {49%} [55%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% [44%] (43%) {46%} [39%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Likely Voters
  • Paul Ryan 45% / 39% {+6%}
  • Barack Obama 52% / 47% {+5%}
  • Mitt Romney 50% / 46% {+4%}
  • Joe Biden 46% / 47% {-1%}
Among Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 54% [55%] (54%) {53%} [55%] (55%) {51%} [48%] / 44% [44%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {47%} [50%] {+10%}
  • Paul Ryan 41% [29%] (25%) / 38% [20%] (22%) {+3%}
  • Mitt Romney 48% [48%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (39%) {36%} [44%] / 46% [47%] (42%) {41%} [44%] (49%) {54%} [43%] {+2%} 
  • Joe Biden 44% {41%} / 47% {46%} {-3%}
Just your best guess -- if Mitt Romney is elected president in November, how likely is it that he would work hard as president to implement the Republican party's policies in each of the following areas -- very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all?

THE ECONOMY

Among Likely Voters
  • Very likely 66%
  • Somewhat likely 21%
  • Not very likely 5%
  • Not likely at all 7%
Among Registered Voters
  • Very likely 62%
  • Somewhat likely 23%
  • Not very likely 5%
  • Not likely at all 8%
HEALTH CARE

Among Likely Voters
  • Very likely 60%
  • Somewhat likely 24%
  • Not very likely 6%
  • Not likely at all 9%
Among Registered Voters
  • Very likely 55%
  • Somewhat likely 27%
  • Not very likely 7%
  • Not likely at all 10%
ABORTION

Among Likely Voters
  • Very likely 43%
  • Somewhat likely 28%
  • Not very likely 11%
  • Not likely at all 13%
Among Registered Voters
  • Very likely 41%
  • Somewhat likely 29%
  • Not very likely 10%
  • Not likely at all 15%
How would you rate Mitt Romney's choice of Paul Ryan for vice president? Would you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?

Among Registered Voters
  • Excellent 27%
  • Pretty good 24%
  • Only fair 22%
  • Poor 23%
Based on what you know about Paul Ryan, do you think he is qualified to serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?

Among Registered Voters
  • Yes, qualified 52%
  • No, not qualified 43%
Do you think Mitt Romney's choice of Paul Ryan reflects favorably or unfavorably on Romney's ability to make important presidential decisions?

Among Registered Voters
  • Favorably 57%
  • Unfavorably 39%
    Survey of 924 registered voters, including 719 likely voters, was conducted August 22-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.5 percentage points among likely voters. Results from the poll conducted August 7-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-25, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 10-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.

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